Monday NIght Football! Colts Vs Titans

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Monday October 27th Colts +4
The titans have been winning with a solid running game and a quality defense and this week that defense will be put to the test against a Colts team that is off an embarrassing loss. The Colts need to win this game and will give the Titans the first loss of the year. The titans have not really played any tough teams up until this game. The titans are just 10-22 ATS as home favorites between 3.5 and 7 points. The Titans finally get a true test and fail as the Colts keep hopes alive of winning the division. The last four series encounters have been decided by a grand total of 12 points and Indianapolis has won eight of nine versus the Titans. Indianapolis has thrived against top-level opposition (win percentage of 75 or more), cashing eight straight. The Colts win on Monday Night!

NFL Picks Oct 26th

1. Sunday October 26th San Diego / Saints Over 47 (London)
I know Reggie Bush won’t be in the lineup for the Saints when they got o London but the Saints and the Chargers can still give the fans what they want and that is a high scoring game. Neither team has played impressive on defense but on offense they know how to score. San Diego has been on the high side in 23 of 31 as non-conference favorites and the Saints are 5-1 over off back to back unders. This is a high scoring giving the fans in London some fireworks!

2.



Sunday October 26th Miami +1
Every week we find a stinky line that sticks out and take advantage of it. Our stinky lines have done well as last week it was the Packers over the Colts, and the week before that the Falcons over the Bears. This week it’s the Dolphins and it helps that we get a home divisional dog in this game. The Bills have lost eight of their last 13 at Dolphins Stadium and the Bills are only 3-9-1 as division favorites on the highway. The Dolphins unleash a offense that Bills will have trouble keeping up with. The small dog bites back at home this week, take Miami!

3. Sunday October 26th Pittsburgh -3
Two of the best teams match up in what is easily the best game of the week. The edge this week goes to the Steelers as they have one of the best fan basses in the league and that will lead to a great home field advantage. The Steelers have also played the toughest schedule in the league and will be ready for this one. They know how to play against good teams as evident by this stat. Pittsburgh is 27-9 ATS versus top-level teams (win percentage of 75 of more). The Steelers pull off a huge win at home and defeat the defending champions showing the world they are ready to compete for the crown this year!

4. Monday October 27th Colts +4
The titans have been winning with a solid running game and a quality defense and this week that defense will be put to the test against a Colts team that is off an embarrassing loss. The Colts need to win this game and will give the Titans the first loss of the year. The titans have not really played any tough teams up until this game. The titans are just 10-22 ATS as home favorites between 3.5 and 7 points. The Titans finally get a true test and fail as the Colts keep hopes alive of winning the division. The last four series encounters have been decided by a grand total of 12 points and Indianapolis has won eight of nine versus the Titans. Indianapolis has thrived against top-level opposition (win percentage of 75 or more), cashing eight straight. The Colts win on Monday Night!

5. Sunday October 26th Browns +7
The Browns may not be winning all games but it’s not for lack of effort. After whipping the defending champions they came back to the play the Skins to the wire after it looked like they were going to get blown out. Cleveland has covered 10 straight after playing its last game on the road. The Browns are also 14-3 ATS on grass and 6-0 ATS off a road loss. Jacksonville never seems to put a complete game together and that leaves the door wide open for the Browns to steal a big game on the road. Take the Browns.


6. Sunday October 26th Raiders +7
We are taking a chance on my second road seven point dog of the week. In fact this is the second week in a row the Raiders make the cut as we had them last week to beat the Packers. Flaco has looked good for the Ravens but enough to warrant them big home favorites against anyone in the NFL? I don’t think so. The Raiders are adjusting under the new head coach and they are not making as many mistakes as they have in the past. This line is set off last years Raiders team not this year. This one stays close thanks to the long range kicking from the Raiders.

7. Sunday October 26th Patriots -7
The Patriots are off a short week but its time for the Rams to revert back to normal form. Jackson is beat up after last game and Cassell has finally begun to grasp the offense. New England has prospered against the NFC-West, cashing 11 straight. The Patriots are 38-14-2 as non-division home favorites while St. Louis is 12-29-2 ATS on the road outside the NFC-West. The Rams are 2-13 as dogs off a double-digit spread win versus a non-division foe. The Patriots roll again this week for the big win!

NFL Big Week! Week Seven!

1. Sunday October 19th Oakland +3
The Jets win over the hapless Bengals assured them that they can still have a shot at the title if they keep beating up bad teams along the way. The problem is a trip to the west coast could be exactly what they need to fall down. The raiders need a win for the interim head coach and have some raw talent that could vault them into victory lane. The New York Jets are 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS on the road when facing a non-division opponent. The Raiders may not be the best home dog in the league but they have enough talent where they can win here.

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2. Sunday October 19th Steelers -9.5
Betting against a home divisional dog is a big no-no in our book unless it’s the Bengals. With Palmer out again this week the Bengal players have been accused of playing with no effort thinking the season can’t be saved. The Steelers on the other hand are playing great football and after a week of rest they will be eager to finally have a game against a weak opponent. Pittsburgh has won and cashed 12 of 15 at Cincinnati and the road team is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 encounters. The Steelers are 19-7-2 ATS when facing a division foe on the highway. The struggling Bengals are 7-18 as home dogs off a road game. The Steelers stomp the Bengals.

3. Sunday October 19th Chargers / Bills over 44.5
If the Chargers have shown anything this week it is that they can score points but the defense has been inconsistent. San Diego has eclipsed the total in 16 of 22 road games after scoring 28 points or more. The Bills are off a bye week and will be eager to return to the field off of a bad loss. The inconsistency of the Chargers defense will show again this week and this game turns into a shootout this week when the Bolts come to Buffalo!

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4. Monday October 20th Patriots -3
The way the Patriots have played this season it will be hard to take them in any games especially against a team as talented as the Broncos, but the Pats were on an extended road trip and look forward to being at home and the doubters are out in full force that is when the Patriots play at their best. The Broncos have failed in seven of eight Monday road tests ATS off a SU loss. New England is 38-15-2 as non-division home chalk. The Patriots have cashed 14 of 19 after allowing 28 points or more and 20 of 26 off a SU loss. The Patriots win and cover under the Monday night spotlight!

5. Sunday October 19th Packers +1
The Colts band wagon seems to be full again after a blowout of the Ravens, but the Packers offer something the Ravens don’t and that is a decent offense and a home field advantage. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS the last two seasons and need a big win at home to keep driving towards the playoffs. The offense of the Packers can control the clock and keep Manning and company off of the field and allow the defense to rest when they do play. The cheese heads steal a big win in the marquee game of the week!

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6. Sunday October 19th Chiefs +9
Last week we took the Rams to play tight against the Redskins and the won outright! This week our big dog is the Chiefs. They have not always looked well but we were on them when they beat the Broncos at home as big dogs and we will back them again here. The Chiefs are 37-13-2 as home dogs and they have covered 19 of 28 after losing by 14 more. In addition, Kansas City is 21-9-2 ATS at Arrowhead Stadium after allowing 30 points or more. Tennessee is 3-9-1 ATS after winning by three or less. The titans have one eye on their game next week against the Colts and will have to wake up late to get a victory on the road!

7. Sunday October 20th Seattle / Tampa Bay Under 38.5
The smart money already hit this total this week dropping it from 41 to 38.5. Tampa Bay is 35-15 under after a win by 14+ points and has proven to have one of the best defenses in the league holding good offenses to little or no points this year. Seattle has enough trouble with injuries and Frye did not look his best last week against the Packers. When Tampa Bay played as a home team as a Favorite and Vs Conference Opponent and Coming off a Home win the under is 10-2. When Seattle played as a Road team and is playing on a grass surface with six days off and coming off a Home loss as a Favorite the under is 11-3! This is a low scoring game controlled by the kickers, take this one to stay well below the total!

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Monday Night Football

Monday October 13th
Cleveland Browns +9

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Wait on this line because it will rise by Monday night and may even reach ten points. The Browns have had an extra week to prepare for this game as they are off the bye week and they get a Giants teams that will be hard pressed to have a repeat performance off last weeks results. We have another angle here and that is betting against a team that gets a superstar back in the lineup for the first game and this week the Giants welcome Plaxico back to the fold. The New York Giants have flopped in five of its last seven as road favorites when playing on Monday night and may get surprised on Monday night!

Sunday picks

1. Sunday October 12th Colts -5.5

The win by the Colts last week was improbable and inspirational and they will use that win to propel them towards a good season. The Ravens let a win slip through their grasp and will have a tough time getting up for a game on the road. Baltimore has failed to cash eight straight when facing teams from the AFC-South. Baltimore has lost and failed in 21 of its last 28 road games. Indianapolis is 23-14-2 ATS after scoring 28 or more points. Baltimore is 1-8 ATS in road games and Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS off BB ATS losses. Take the Colts to blow out the ravens.

2. Sunday October 12th Bengals +6

Taking the winless Bengals may be a tough road to travel but they have played tough against some of the NFL's best in the Giants and the Cowboys. The face a Jets team that has been inconsistent and although Favre has shown flashes of brilliance the Bengals can pull the upset here. Cincinnati is 21-10-1 ATS on the road and the edition of Benson will be a good one for the bengals. When the Jets team played as a Home team Vs Non Division Opponent During Week 4 to 8 and allowed 35 points or less in their last game they are a putrid 6-22-3 ATS! The Bengals pull the upset on the road and finally win!
3. Monday October 13th Cleveland +7.5
Wait on this line because it will rise by Monday night and may even reach ten points. The Browns have had an extra week to prepare for this game as they are off the bye week and they get a Giants teams that will be hard pressed to have a repeat performance off last weeks results. We have another angle here and that is betting against a team that gets a superstar back in the lineup for the first game and this week the Giants welcome Plaxico back to the fold. The New York Giants have flopped in five of its last seven as road favorites when playing on Monday night and may get surprised on Monday night!
4. Sunday October 12th Falcons +1
Are you sold on the Falcons yet? You should be. With the addition of Turner in the backfield and Ryan at QB the falcons look impressive on the season as they took down Green Bay in the last game at Lambeau field. One of our favorite angles to take is betting on a home dog after they won outright on the road the week prior. The confidence of the road win carries over to the home game and the result is another impressive performance and another win for Atlanta! When the bears played as a Road team and are Vs Non Division Opponent and Allowed 4 - 7 against in their last game they are 2-10 ATS. Take the Falcons to get the win!

5. Sunday October 12th AFC SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH: San Diego -6The Chargers got caught in a trip to the East Coast and fell to the rising Dolphins. The Patriots are in a similar situation and will be on the west coast for this entire week after playing the niners. The Cardinals did this when playing Washington and New York in back to back games and it ended with a thumping loss. Look for the same beating for the Patriots. The chargers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 home games 13-4-2 ATS off a SU loss. The Chargers offense gets on track and has big results.

6. Sunday October 12th
Houston -3
After a huge heartbreaker to the Colts that Texans look to rebound and get the first win of the season. This line has to be a bit stinky, after all the Dolphins are off back to back wins against two of the best in the AFC in the Chargers and the Patriots and they are dogs to a team with no wins? That's because the Dolphins will be in letdown mode here. Miami is 12-28 ATS off a SU win as underdog and Houston is 26-12 ATS off BB SU losses. Houston has cashed 17 of 27 after losing by 10 points or more and will get the win in surprisingly impressive fashion!

7. Sunday October 12th St. Louis +13.5
The Redskins have just had two huge wins against NFC East rivals and on the road nonetheless so you can't blame them for not being so excited this week for the game against the lowly Rams. The Rams are off a bye week and got a new coach in the meantime. Haslett will restore team in the Rams locker room and proved it by putting Bulger in the starting lineup and that will make the Rams offense happy. The Redskins have been money burners as double-digit home favorites, coming up short in 13 of 18. They have also dropped 14 of 18 spread decisions off a SU dog win.

Week 5 NFL

1. Sunday October 5th Houston +3
We have had the pulse of the Houston Texans this year taking them at the right time like last week against Jacksonville. For anyone that is not sold on the Colts having a rough year they are not watching closely and the Texans always play well against the Colts. Taking them as a home division dog is worth a look here. The Colts are 3-10-1 ATS after losing by three points or less. The Texans are 6-2 ATS after losing by three or less and they have also cashed 10 of their last 15 at home versus a division opponent. The Texans played tough against the Jags and will here too.
2. Sunday October 5th Lions +3.5



The Bears have proven one thing this year and that is they are inconsistent. They play well and beat some good teams in the Colts and the Eagles and then fall flat and the defense looks old blowing leads. Now they face one of the worst teams in the league and will fall flat again. Millen was fired and it will sound a warning shot that no one is safe inspiring them to play better. When Detroit team played as Home team as a Underdog and are playing in dome surface and coming off a under they are 18-10-1 ATS. The Super Seven gets another home divisional dog.

3. Monday October 6th Vikings / Saints Over 47
Monday night football has been a scoring machine this year as the over has cashed on a consistent basis. This week the Saints and the Vikings go at it and you can expect from fireworks. The saints have a high powered offense that will score and the defense can’t stop anyone and that will allow the Vikings to score as well. Minnesota is 42-19 Over Away off ATS loss and the New Orleans Saints is 8-1 over off home win! This one goes way over the total as both teams light up the scoreboard.

4. Sunday October 5th Giants -7
The Giants are proving all the doubters wrong that said they could not have a good year after the Super bowl win. Off a bye the Giants will be ready for a good performance even without Plaxico. Seattle is 0-6 ATS Away off win by 14+ points and the NY Giants are 16-7 ATS L23 games. Seattle has struggled on the road in October, failing to cover 25 of 32. The Seahawks have also come up short at a 4-12-1 clip as non-division road pups. The New York Giants are 29-12-5 ATS off a SU home win. The Giants defensive line cannot be stopped as they crush the birds!

5. Sunday October 5th Baltimore +2.5
This is our system play for the week and we yield another home dog for this one. Baltimore showed the world on Monday night that they are the real deal and will be able to bottle up the run of the Titans and force Collins to try and win this game. Here is the system: When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as an Underdog - Total is between 33 to 36.5 - Coming off vs. American Conference opponent they are 91-58-8 ATS. The ravens hand the Titans the first loss of the season behind the terrorizing defense!

6. Sunday October 5th Pittsburgh / Jacksonville Over 37
The Steelers offense is running out of running backs and the only one they have left is basically a third down back. The Steelers played to this in Monday night Football by running a no huddle offense and this allowed them to score so expect more of the same this week. The defense on the other hand will be on the field more than normal allowing some points from the jaguar’s side of the ball. When Jags team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - Playing on grass surface - Coming off vs. American Conference opponent the over is 19-12. This one goes way over the number.

7. Sunday October 5th Denver -3
Tampa Bay is off an emotional win over Green bay and will be spent for this one. They run into a Bronco team off a very disappointing loss against the lowly Chiefs and looking for someone to take out on. Tampa Bay is 4-20 ATS on the road outside its division. Denver is 17-8-2 ATS off a SU loss to a division foe. The Broncos have also covered at a 17-10-1 clip after allowing 30 points or more. When Tampa played as a Road team in the month of October and they are coming off a win on grass they are 4-13-2 ATS. The Broncos roll in this one!