Sunday, October 12, 2008

Sunday picks




1. Sunday October 12th Colts -5.5

The win by the Colts last week was improbable and inspirational and they will use that win to propel them towards a good season. The Ravens let a win slip through their grasp and will have a tough time getting up for a game on the road. Baltimore has failed to cash eight straight when facing teams from the AFC-South. Baltimore has lost and failed in 21 of its last 28 road games. Indianapolis is 23-14-2 ATS after scoring 28 or more points. Baltimore is 1-8 ATS in road games and Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS off BB ATS losses. Take the Colts to blow out the ravens.

2. Sunday October 12th Bengals +6

Taking the winless Bengals may be a tough road to travel but they have played tough against some of the NFL's best in the Giants and the Cowboys. The face a Jets team that has been inconsistent and although Favre has shown flashes of brilliance the Bengals can pull the upset here. Cincinnati is 21-10-1 ATS on the road and the edition of Benson will be a good one for the bengals. When the Jets team played as a Home team Vs Non Division Opponent During Week 4 to 8 and allowed 35 points or less in their last game they are a putrid 6-22-3 ATS! The Bengals pull the upset on the road and finally win!
3. Monday October 13th Cleveland +7.5
Wait on this line because it will rise by Monday night and may even reach ten points. The Browns have had an extra week to prepare for this game as they are off the bye week and they get a Giants teams that will be hard pressed to have a repeat performance off last weeks results. We have another angle here and that is betting against a team that gets a superstar back in the lineup for the first game and this week the Giants welcome Plaxico back to the fold. The New York Giants have flopped in five of its last seven as road favorites when playing on Monday night and may get surprised on Monday night!
4. Sunday October 12th Falcons +1
Are you sold on the Falcons yet? You should be. With the addition of Turner in the backfield and Ryan at QB the falcons look impressive on the season as they took down Green Bay in the last game at Lambeau field. One of our favorite angles to take is betting on a home dog after they won outright on the road the week prior. The confidence of the road win carries over to the home game and the result is another impressive performance and another win for Atlanta! When the bears played as a Road team and are Vs Non Division Opponent and Allowed 4 - 7 against in their last game they are 2-10 ATS. Take the Falcons to get the win!

5. Sunday October 12th AFC SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH: San Diego -6The Chargers got caught in a trip to the East Coast and fell to the rising Dolphins. The Patriots are in a similar situation and will be on the west coast for this entire week after playing the niners. The Cardinals did this when playing Washington and New York in back to back games and it ended with a thumping loss. Look for the same beating for the Patriots. The chargers are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 home games 13-4-2 ATS off a SU loss. The Chargers offense gets on track and has big results.

6. Sunday October 12th
Houston -3
After a huge heartbreaker to the Colts that Texans look to rebound and get the first win of the season. This line has to be a bit stinky, after all the Dolphins are off back to back wins against two of the best in the AFC in the Chargers and the Patriots and they are dogs to a team with no wins? That's because the Dolphins will be in letdown mode here. Miami is 12-28 ATS off a SU win as underdog and Houston is 26-12 ATS off BB SU losses. Houston has cashed 17 of 27 after losing by 10 points or more and will get the win in surprisingly impressive fashion!

7. Sunday October 12th St. Louis +13.5
The Redskins have just had two huge wins against NFC East rivals and on the road nonetheless so you can't blame them for not being so excited this week for the game against the lowly Rams. The Rams are off a bye week and got a new coach in the meantime. Haslett will restore team in the Rams locker room and proved it by putting Bulger in the starting lineup and that will make the Rams offense happy. The Redskins have been money burners as double-digit home favorites, coming up short in 13 of 18. They have also dropped 14 of 18 spread decisions off a SU dog win.

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