Thursday, September 11, 2008

NFL Week 2

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1. Monday September 15th
Dallas / Philly Over 47

The thing with both of these teams is that the offense for both squads looked to be in mid-season form. McNabb put up the best numbers of the week although they beat up the hapless Rams and Romo and TO were on the same page out the gate. Philadelphia has zipped 'over' in 16 of 21 as dogs and for those that want to play a side it is interesting to note that the straight up winner is 29-4-1 ATS in this series.

2. Sunday September 14th
Bengals -1
The Bengals are off a tough loss to the start the season to the Ravens in a game where the offense was silent. Carson Palmer came out publicly and said that the offense is fine and it will show this week. The titans have not been able to focus much on football with all of the drama surrounding Vince Young. The team came off a big win but they will stumble to the home team Bengals here.

3. Sunday September 14th
Saints PK

The Saints got some bad news this week when the realized Colston would be out with an injury and take away one of the Saints best weapons for 4-6 weeks. The good news is the Saints just re-load as Henderson will be fine at wide out and they will bring the backs into the set more often catching passes. It was revealed in week one the Redskins have problems at the QB spot. New Orleans has 'covered' in eight of its past 10 road openers. Washington is 7-21 ATS at home in September and the Saints are 17-5 ATS off home division win.


4. Sunday September 14th
Patriots +1.5

The biggest news of the week was the Patriots losing Brady and how they would respond. This is when the Patriots are at their best when everyone counts them out and the coaching and the veteran leadership will get them through this. Watch Randy Moss have one of his biggest games as he has already said to watch out for the Pats even without Tom Brady. New England is 70-43 ATS as an underdog and the NY Jets are 6-19 ATS at home in September. New England has won eight of its last nine road meetings with the Jets and cashed nine straight. The Patriots have also 'covered' eight of their last 11 road openers while New York has floundered at a 2-13-1 clip in its last 16 home debuts.

5. Sunday September 14th
Detroit +3

Aaron Rodgers played brilliantly and the Packers looked just fine without #4 and the Lions lost to the Falcons and most people would say the Lions are in for another beating this week. Not so fast. Kitna is a much better QB than Jackson and they get the Packers on a short week. The home team is 27-7 SU and 24-8 ATS in this heated NFC-North rivalry. Detroit lost both meetings with the Packers by double-digits in 2007. The Lions are 20-6 ATS at home in double revenge mode. The lions roar and beat the Packers.

6. Sunday September 14th
Cleveland +6

The Sunday night game should be a good one as the Browns will be at home to take on the Steelers after getting shell shocked by the Cowboys. Cleveland is 15-2 ATS after allowing 27 points or more and it has cashed 17 of its last 26 as dogs in September. The Steelers have owned this series of late but the Browns get revenge as home divisional dogs on national television! Pittsburgh is 0-7 ATS after scoring 35+ points and fall flat here.

7. Monday September 15th
Houston NL

This is aplay if the Texans are dogs or favorites of four or less. The line is slow to come here for many reasons but the storm has moved the game to Monday night. The Ravens rookie QB will finally face a defense this week and the Texans will rebound off a bad loss at Pittsburgh. Baltimore has lost 20 of 27 on the road and failed to cash 21 of 27 and it was 0-8 ATS on the highway in 2007. The Ravens have come up short in their last seven ATS versus AFC-South foes and in 18 of 23 ATS after playing at home. Take the Texans to win here!

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