Saturday, January 5, 2008

Wild Card Weekend

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NFL Playoffs

Washington @ Seattle

I really want to ride the motional band wagon that is the Washington Redskins winning games in honor of Taylor and getting into the playoffs. The problem is Seattle is a dark horse to me to get to the super bowl. They have experience and are getting healthy at the right time. Collins has played great but the playoff experience will get him and they are playing on one of the best home fields in the league. I just can’t see Washington winning this game today. The passing game will play a role in this game today and that edge goes to the Seahawks.

Seattle -3

Teams with a passing yards per game edge on offense going into a playoff game are 80-63 ATS, or 55.9% since ’93, an improvement of 4.9% over rushing yardage. Since ’00, that record improves to 46-32 ATS for 58.9%, showing that passing is clearly becoming a more important ingredient to playoff success.

When WASHINGTON REDSKINS team played as a Road team - Playing on turf surface - Total is between 37 to 41 - Coming off a win on grass they are 4-11-1 ATS

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team - After a non division game - Coming off a 0-3 point loss they are 10-6 ATS

Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh

This has been the most hyped playoff game out of all of the games of this wild card weekend. The Jaguars are playing some great football and the Steelers come limping into this game and will be without Willie Parker. I am going to stay away from the side.

Under 40
The Jags ran all over the Steelers the last time they played and the Steelers front line will have a ton to prove against this team and will stack the line to stop the run and they get help in the secondary with Polamalu coming back from injury. This puts the ball in Garrad’s hands and although he has had a great year this is his first playoff start and that is something I can’t bet on.

When PITTSBURGH STEELERS team played as a Home team - After a division game - Scored 14 - 21 POINTS FOR in their last game the under is 12-3

When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as Road team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - Scored 28 points or less FOR in their last game the under is 7-3

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