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NFL Today

One unit: Carolina +10.5
Carolina / Jacksonville

Carolina has had a tough season with injuries taking them out of the playoff race and making it very tough on the panthers. Jacksonville is off a tough loss to the Colts in a game where they wanted to win to prove to the Colts they could take the division. Carolina has the edge in this one, it may be close which is one I kept it at one unit but this number is inflated and off by about 4-5 points. Carolina is 17-6 ATS away in December. Carolina is 49-28 as road dogs and it has cashed 19 of 26 after coming up short in three of its previous four games ATS.The Jaguars are 2-8 ATS before facing Pittsburgh
Play On - Road teams (CAROLINA) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, in December. games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as a Home team - Vs Non Division Opponent - Playing on grass surface - Coming off 1 game loss they are 3-7-1 ATS
When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a conference game - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 11-1 ATS
When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 13-3 ATS

One Unit: Lions +10.5
Detroit / Dallas
This game has brought a lot of attention to the Dallas defense as they have gone on record as saying that they are coming after Kitna and will pay a fine if they need to. This is not good to make public in my opinion and the referees will be watching and you can be sure the 15 yard flags will be flying against that defense. A small play on the lions looking to try and win one and get back in the playoff hunt. Detroit is 18-7 ATS off 3+ ATS losses. The Cowboys have dropped 18 of 21 ATS on the highway after 'covering' the spread in three of their last four games. Conversely, Detroit is 18-7 ATS after three or more straight losses. The Lions have shown resiliency after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards two consecutive games with 12-2 ATS mark, including 4-0 the last three seasons.

One Unit: Miami +7
Miami / Buffalo
The Dolphins have yet to win and its hard to think that will change in Buffalo where they have always had problems in the winter. With the exceptions of a few games the Dolphins have managed to keep it close in the losses they have and they should do that again!
PLAY AGAINST any NFL division home favorite of -4 or more who failed to score 21 or more points in any of its last three games if he is off a SU and ATS win and is going into revenge.

26 Year ATS = 13-1 for 92.8%.
When MIAMI DOLPHINS team played as a Road team - With 6 day off - Coming off 1 ATS lost they are 17-9-1 ATS

Three Units: Eagles -3
Eagles / Giants
Finally a favorite makes my list of plays and it’s with the Eagles. The Eagles are looking for revenge and will have the key components back in action. Eli Manning has had a poor season and the Eagles defense will take advantage of this. New York upset Philadelphia as three-point home dogs in the first meeting of the season, 16-3, cashing for only the third time in the last nine encounters. The Eagles are 44-22 ATS when in revenge mode and 17-6 ATS avenging an upset loss against an opponent as favorites.
When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Vs NFC East opponent - Coming off a Road win - Allowed 14 - 21 AGAINST in their last game they are 5-10 ATS
When PHILADELPHIA EAGLES team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Before a conference game - Scored 24 points or less FOR in their last game they are 8-3 ATS

Two units: Over 39.5
Oakland / Green Bay
This game is going to be all about the offense and the numbers should be high and I would not be surprised if this total is eclipsed in the first half. Green Bay has zipped 'over' in 16 of 26 at Lambeau Field in December.
When GREEN BAY PACKERS team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Coming off vs National Conference opponent the over is 11-6.
When OAKLAND RAIDERS team played as a Road team - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off 2 game winning streak - Coming off back to back SU wins the over is 8-5 ATS.

San Diego / Tennessee
I have a lean to the Titans at home but I am going to pass on this game. I did dig up some interesting trends so I will post them but overall it is a pass. San Diego is 21-8 ATS on the road after allowing 10 points or less and 12-3 ATS on the highway after having won six or seven of eight. Tennessee has 'covered' 24 of 29 as non-division dogs off a SU win. The Chargers have eclipsed the 'total' in 10 of 12 when it was between 35 1/2 and 42 and the Titans have followed suit in 15 of 20 with the same numbers in play. Tennessee has also been on the high side in 12 of 15 as home dogs of three points or less. San Diego is 6-0 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games and Tennessee is 17-6 ATS off a division home win.
When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % they are 80-52-9 ATS (TENN)

Cincinnati / St. Louis
This is another pass for me as I really want to take the bengals since Bulger will not be playing for the Rams, but the bengals defense is so bad I don’t know if I can trust them, but again here are some good trends and information for those that are playing it. St. Louis is 34-17 Over vs. non-conference opponents and Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS after scoring 14 or less points. St. Louis is 10-28-2 ATS on the road against a non-division foe. Cincinnati is 20-13-2 ATS hosting an NFC team. The Rams have slipped 'under' in seven of 11 games this year, including four of five on the road. But they have zoomed 'over' in 16 of 24 as non-conference dogs.
When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Road team - During Week 12 to 16 - Coming off 1 ATS win they are 2-9 ATS. When CINCINNATI BENGALS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - Coming off a lost on grass the over is 7-3.