NFL Week 11

NFL Today


Bengals -3
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The bengals are starting to win again but can you trust them? You can against the Cardinals banged up secondary. Palmer will be able to throw against this team and get a couple of victories strung together. Arizona is 4-10 as non-conference dogs of more than three points. The Cards have also floundered in 20 of 28 on the highway against non-division opponents. Cincinnati is 20-12-2 at Paul Brown Stadium versus NFC foes.
When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as a pk to 3 Underdog - With 6 day off - Coming off a win on grass they are 4-11-1 ATS
When CINCINNATI BENGALS team played as a Home team - During the month of November - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a 1 under they are 12-4-1 ATS



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New Orleans / Houston Over 48
Houston has a decent passing offense and the Saints have not been able to slow a team like that down this year. Johnson returns for the Texans and that will make them even deadlier. This won’t stop the Saints from putting points on the board.

NEW ORLEANS is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season since 1992. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 22.3, OPPONENT 29.3

Houston: 10-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3

When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Allowed 17 points or less AGAINST in their last game the over is 10-2

When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Coming off 2 game Road stand the over is 9-2

When NEW ORLEANS SAINTS team played as a Road team - During the month of November - Coming off 1 game loss the over is 12-5

Panthers +9.5
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Call me crazy to back the Panthers at Green Bay but I like this spot against Green Bay.
Carolina is 20-11-2 as non-division road dogs. Green Bay is 2-10 ATS off a division game, 2-11-1 as double-digit favorites and 6-12-1 as home chalk. John Fox is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) as a road underdog as the coach of CAROLINA. The average score was Fox 19, OPPONENT 17.9
When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as a Road team - Last 4 years - Coming off a lost on grass they are 11-6 ATS
Carolina: 30-16 ATS away off an ATS lossGreen Bay: 0-8 ATS at home off an Under


Atlanta +3

[IMG] http://www.statfox.com/images/helmets/nfl/Atlanta.gif[/img] Backing the Atlanta Falcons is never an easy proposition but in this case it works. The Falcons are playing much better football lately and getting inspired play at defense and even at the QB spot. Dunn always likes to play against his former team and the home dog will have some bite today.

When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as Road team as a Favorite - Before a non division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite they are 4-11
The Bucs are 5-10 as division road favorites and 2-7 as road chalk of 3 1/2 points or less.

Jon Gruden is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of TAMPA BAY. The average score was Gruden 15.6, OPPONENT 19.7 –


Washington +11
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Going against the Cowboys is always tricky but today it’s warranted. The boys are playing the third straight divisional game and get a Redskin team that is ready to play tough against its rivals. Moss will be back in the lineup for Washington giving them a boost on offense. The Redskins are 11-5-1 as division road dogs.
When DALLAS COWBOYS team played as a Home team - Total is between 44.5 to 47 - Coming off a win on turf they are 2-8-1 ATS