Thursday, November 1, 2007

More Patriots Vs Colts

Pats VS Colts Take Two

As the hype commences in earnest for the true NFL Game of the Century, I wonder what was happened to Bill Belichick. If Belichick doesn’t care what a Hall of Fame coach like Joe Gibbs thinks in running up the score on his team, he’s not going to care what I or anyone else thinks. Still I question the motives of a man who gives the appearance he is now bigger then the game.

Being caught spying with cameras only confirmed what many others either knew or believed for the last several years about a Belichick coached team. Since being punished, Bill the Bully has made a point to go out of his way to not only defeat opponents but embarrass them. His obsession with perfection is well known and for someone to be that intent on seeking such high levels of performance can not be faulted. What seems clear, Bruising Bill is bitter and he wants to teach the world a lesson.

The argument of running up the score has different perspectives. When Bobby Bowden and Lou Holtz were a couple of young head coaches working there way up, Bowden had a superior team to Holtz’s and delivered a Chris Fowler “woodshed” job. The two coaches knew each other as they were moving up the ranks and Holtz was slightly chafed and asked Bowden why he didn’t call off the dogs so to speak. Bowden’s answer was something like this, “It’s not my job to help you get better players that can compete with mine, that’s your job.” Holtz said it was a lesson he never forgot. Another that comes to mind is former Hall of Fame quarterback John Brodie used to be the lead analyst for NBC for the AFC contests and was asked be legendary broadcaster Curt Gowdy about Kansas City running up the score at home against the Oakland Raiders when they were at the pinnacle of there success. Brodie responded “You know Curt; the Chiefs should score all the points they want and have a good time. The only thing they should remember, there is always another game, and do what you have to do.”

What’s really odd about New England’s behavior is it seems so contrarian to owner Robert Kraft public perception. Kraft has an every man quality about him and wants to win in what he has cultivate as the right way. He has never come across as a marauder. New England awesome display this season has finally got the oddsmakers attention, bleeding money from the public incessantly pounding the Pats. For years I wondered how despite winning three Super Bowls this decade, most Patriots games have not had the appearance of being weighted heavily. Think about it, the Yankees, Red Sox, and San Antonio Spurs all are shaded towards public perception, decreasing value. I asked John Salerno from LeRoy’s Sportsbook in Las Vegas (63 Nevada outlets), about why until this season New England seemed to lack the panache other public teams have had. “Over the last several seasons, the Patriots have not been wagered on significantly more than other NFL teams. That has changed this season with how they continue to cover spreads.”

One last point on Belichick. He has been around football long enough and knows what he has in terms of talent. If by chance his Patriots were to go undefeated and win the Super Bowl, wouldn’t the legacy of a gracious winner make more sense, as he seems driven to be known as the greatest coach of all-time? New England sadly seems to have gone the route of out of control corporate leaders who believe they are so powerful they are above the rules that govern them.As Steve Young said on Monday Night Countdown, "This is the best team (New England) I have seen in over 10 years, do it with a little class."

It’s a good thing Chicago discovered quarterback Rex Grossman was taking them down and giving the Bears the best chance to win. All those bad passes he was throwing into tight coverage and being intercepted really worked to the detriment of the team. Thank goodness Bears fans got what they wanted Brian Griese. Isn’t it hilarious how players today just throw just throw out “guaranteed win” and lose games.

CLICK HERE FOR THE CURRENT LINE!

At last count St. Louis was up to three by my accounting, with the end result less than desirable. This used to mean something when an athlete would say something like this, these days it is taken with the same seriousness as most anything Jesse Jackson has to offer.

It’s time for Carolina and Tampa Bay to officially become nervous as New Orleans Saints are marching towards first place in the NFC South. Drew Brees is like Austin Powers, he’s found his Mojo (in a manner of speaking) and the Saints offense is clicking again. Reggie Bush might not last 12 years as an every down back, yet you have to be impressed with his toughness as a runner. He unquestionably has led to the Saints confidence turnaround.

Tasty Tidbits – Last week introduced yards per point statistic that was winning against the spread at a remarkable clip. The top five Play On teams held steady and are wallet stuffing 28-9, 75.6 percent and can be found under NFL banner line at Team Statistics page. The Play Against are nearly as good, with powerful 23-11, 67.6 percent record….Here is a system to watch for the rest of the season that has a proven track record. Play On home teams with a winning percentage of 25% or less after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, playing a team with a winning record. This system is a rock solid 16-4, 80 percent as this time over the last five NFL seasons and will have several opportunities with good to better then average teams not taking terrible clubs seriously…. All NFL teams off a road dog win have fallen to 6-9-1, 40 percent against the spread in next game including 1-6 the last five weeks….As all teams work diligently to force turnovers, in 2007 creating too many has been a bad thing the next week. Of the teams that have forced five or more turnovers in a game, only one has covered against the number is next trip to the gridiron (1-5-1 ATS).

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