Sunday, September 30, 2007

NFL Week 4 Winners


The NFL super seven finished up at another week at or around .500 and it would seem as something has to give and this week in preparation for week four the hot discussion is injuries. It was just announced today that Rudi Johnson will not play against the Patriots on Monday night and the mystery in Carolina on whether or not David Carr will make his first start is still up in the air. The best way to prepare for handicapping NFL games with injuries is to decide what type of impact the player that is hurt will have if they are out of the lineup. Certain players will have more of an impact if they miss the game than others. Look into what type of role they will play and if the backup is suitable to fill in where the starter leaves off.

Week One: 3-4
Week Two: 3-3-1
Week Three: 3-4
Overall: 9-11-1

7) Vikings +2The Packers are in for a shock this week when they head to Minnesota to take on the Vikings in a divisional match up. The Vikings rushing attack will give the Packers defense fits and the Vikings have revenge for being swept in the season series last year. The Vikings have won 20 of 28 as home dogs and are always solid at home. Minnesota has also cashed nine off 11 when playing its second game at home, including its last four as underdogs. In addition, the Vikings are 6-0 against the spread coming off back-to-back straight-up losses versus an opponent that's over .500. Vikings win outright.

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6) Rams +13 The Cowboys made a statement last week when they dismantled the vaunted Bears defense on national television. The Rams are in disarray having yet to cover and are plagued with injuries, but they are the pick in this one tonight. Leonard is a very suitable replacement for Jackson and the Rams need a win and will fight to the end in this one. The Cowboys weakness, if any, is on pass defense and the Rams can exploit this. The Cowboys are 8-16 as double-digit favorites and 4-9 ATS off a SU win as underdogs.

5) Arizona +6This will be a very interesting game for the Cardinals and head coach Whisenhunt as he faces his former team in the Pittsburgh Steelers. The cardinal’s defense is underrated and will be ready to attack. Whisenhunt was under attack by his former QB this week and will be ready to make him eat his words. The steelers are 1-7 as road favorites off a double-digit SU win and 6-16-1 as non-division away favorites.

4) 49ers +2These teams are headed in opposite directions then in years past. The 49ers are revamped but off a loss in a game when they needed to prove themselves which makes this game at home against a divisional rival. Seattle is 7-17 as road favorites and 3-12 on the highway when laying 3 1/2 points or less.

3) Buffalo +3.5The Bills are in desperate need of a win and now have no where to go but up and the good news is they get the jets this week. The Bills are 12-2 ATS off a SU division loss and 13-1 after playing New England. Buffalo has cashed five of its last seven against New York. The Jets a 3-9-1 ATS when facing teams that are under .500. Look for the Bills to win outright and get the first win of the season.

2) Giants +3The giants join a list of divisional home dogs that will cash this weekend and have a solid shot of winning outright. Don’t be fooled by the Eagles performance last week it was against a very bad defense and they are hurting with injuries. Manning has gained control of the offense and the running game is back, the Giants win outright today and get back in the race.

1) San Diego -12.5The Chargers have imploded and are looking for answers as the QB and the head coach were under fire after losing to the Packers. The Chargers are better than they have played in the last two games and will take it out on the lowly KC Chiefs. The home team in this series is 7-1 ATS and the straight up winner is 21-3 ATS and I do not see the Chargers losing this one.

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