Thanksgiving Plays

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

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Two units: Detroit +3

I never have a problem backing a home team on a holiday! Detroit has 'covered' 11 of its last 16 versus the Packers at home and the host is 14-4 ATS in this NFC Central rivalry. In addition, the Lions are 14-5 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses and 18-10 ATS after scoring 10 points or less. They have also 'covered' eight of nine at Ford Field in November with revenge versus a division opponent.

One Unit: Jets +15

The jets have played much better ball and are off a big win over the Steelers. They have set up the running game to defeat the Steelers and if they can do it again this one will be close. The Cowboys will be looking ahead to the showdown with the Packers. Dallas has been no bargain as a double-digit favorite (9-18-2).

Three Units: Colts/Falcons over 41

The Colts have had issues in the last week but all should be cured when they face the Falcons at home on Thanksgiving. The Falcons will be able to put a few up late in the game to push this over the top. The Falcons have been on the high side in 14 of 22 as double-digit dogs and in 14 of 20 as short-enders versus non-conference opponents. They have also topped the 'total' in 11 of 15 at home after scoring 10 points or less.