Week 5 NFL

1. Sunday October 5th Houston +3
We have had the pulse of the Houston Texans this year taking them at the right time like last week against Jacksonville. For anyone that is not sold on the Colts having a rough year they are not watching closely and the Texans always play well against the Colts. Taking them as a home division dog is worth a look here. The Colts are 3-10-1 ATS after losing by three points or less. The Texans are 6-2 ATS after losing by three or less and they have also cashed 10 of their last 15 at home versus a division opponent. The Texans played tough against the Jags and will here too.
2. Sunday October 5th Lions +3.5



The Bears have proven one thing this year and that is they are inconsistent. They play well and beat some good teams in the Colts and the Eagles and then fall flat and the defense looks old blowing leads. Now they face one of the worst teams in the league and will fall flat again. Millen was fired and it will sound a warning shot that no one is safe inspiring them to play better. When Detroit team played as Home team as a Underdog and are playing in dome surface and coming off a under they are 18-10-1 ATS. The Super Seven gets another home divisional dog.

3. Monday October 6th Vikings / Saints Over 47
Monday night football has been a scoring machine this year as the over has cashed on a consistent basis. This week the Saints and the Vikings go at it and you can expect from fireworks. The saints have a high powered offense that will score and the defense can’t stop anyone and that will allow the Vikings to score as well. Minnesota is 42-19 Over Away off ATS loss and the New Orleans Saints is 8-1 over off home win! This one goes way over the total as both teams light up the scoreboard.

4. Sunday October 5th Giants -7
The Giants are proving all the doubters wrong that said they could not have a good year after the Super bowl win. Off a bye the Giants will be ready for a good performance even without Plaxico. Seattle is 0-6 ATS Away off win by 14+ points and the NY Giants are 16-7 ATS L23 games. Seattle has struggled on the road in October, failing to cover 25 of 32. The Seahawks have also come up short at a 4-12-1 clip as non-division road pups. The New York Giants are 29-12-5 ATS off a SU home win. The Giants defensive line cannot be stopped as they crush the birds!

5. Sunday October 5th Baltimore +2.5
This is our system play for the week and we yield another home dog for this one. Baltimore showed the world on Monday night that they are the real deal and will be able to bottle up the run of the Titans and force Collins to try and win this game. Here is the system: When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as an Underdog - Total is between 33 to 36.5 - Coming off vs. American Conference opponent they are 91-58-8 ATS. The ravens hand the Titans the first loss of the season behind the terrorizing defense!

6. Sunday October 5th Pittsburgh / Jacksonville Over 37
The Steelers offense is running out of running backs and the only one they have left is basically a third down back. The Steelers played to this in Monday night Football by running a no huddle offense and this allowed them to score so expect more of the same this week. The defense on the other hand will be on the field more than normal allowing some points from the jaguar’s side of the ball. When Jags team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - Playing on grass surface - Coming off vs. American Conference opponent the over is 19-12. This one goes way over the number.

7. Sunday October 5th Denver -3
Tampa Bay is off an emotional win over Green bay and will be spent for this one. They run into a Bronco team off a very disappointing loss against the lowly Chiefs and looking for someone to take out on. Tampa Bay is 4-20 ATS on the road outside its division. Denver is 17-8-2 ATS off a SU loss to a division foe. The Broncos have also covered at a 17-10-1 clip after allowing 30 points or more. When Tampa played as a Road team in the month of October and they are coming off a win on grass they are 4-13-2 ATS. The Broncos roll in this one!