NFL Big Week! Week Seven!

1. Sunday October 19th Oakland +3
The Jets win over the hapless Bengals assured them that they can still have a shot at the title if they keep beating up bad teams along the way. The problem is a trip to the west coast could be exactly what they need to fall down. The raiders need a win for the interim head coach and have some raw talent that could vault them into victory lane. The New York Jets are 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS on the road when facing a non-division opponent. The Raiders may not be the best home dog in the league but they have enough talent where they can win here.

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2. Sunday October 19th Steelers -9.5
Betting against a home divisional dog is a big no-no in our book unless it’s the Bengals. With Palmer out again this week the Bengal players have been accused of playing with no effort thinking the season can’t be saved. The Steelers on the other hand are playing great football and after a week of rest they will be eager to finally have a game against a weak opponent. Pittsburgh has won and cashed 12 of 15 at Cincinnati and the road team is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 encounters. The Steelers are 19-7-2 ATS when facing a division foe on the highway. The struggling Bengals are 7-18 as home dogs off a road game. The Steelers stomp the Bengals.

3. Sunday October 19th Chargers / Bills over 44.5
If the Chargers have shown anything this week it is that they can score points but the defense has been inconsistent. San Diego has eclipsed the total in 16 of 22 road games after scoring 28 points or more. The Bills are off a bye week and will be eager to return to the field off of a bad loss. The inconsistency of the Chargers defense will show again this week and this game turns into a shootout this week when the Bolts come to Buffalo!

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4. Monday October 20th Patriots -3
The way the Patriots have played this season it will be hard to take them in any games especially against a team as talented as the Broncos, but the Pats were on an extended road trip and look forward to being at home and the doubters are out in full force that is when the Patriots play at their best. The Broncos have failed in seven of eight Monday road tests ATS off a SU loss. New England is 38-15-2 as non-division home chalk. The Patriots have cashed 14 of 19 after allowing 28 points or more and 20 of 26 off a SU loss. The Patriots win and cover under the Monday night spotlight!

5. Sunday October 19th Packers +1
The Colts band wagon seems to be full again after a blowout of the Ravens, but the Packers offer something the Ravens don’t and that is a decent offense and a home field advantage. Green Bay is 16-7 ATS the last two seasons and need a big win at home to keep driving towards the playoffs. The offense of the Packers can control the clock and keep Manning and company off of the field and allow the defense to rest when they do play. The cheese heads steal a big win in the marquee game of the week!

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6. Sunday October 19th Chiefs +9
Last week we took the Rams to play tight against the Redskins and the won outright! This week our big dog is the Chiefs. They have not always looked well but we were on them when they beat the Broncos at home as big dogs and we will back them again here. The Chiefs are 37-13-2 as home dogs and they have covered 19 of 28 after losing by 14 more. In addition, Kansas City is 21-9-2 ATS at Arrowhead Stadium after allowing 30 points or more. Tennessee is 3-9-1 ATS after winning by three or less. The titans have one eye on their game next week against the Colts and will have to wake up late to get a victory on the road!

7. Sunday October 20th Seattle / Tampa Bay Under 38.5
The smart money already hit this total this week dropping it from 41 to 38.5. Tampa Bay is 35-15 under after a win by 14+ points and has proven to have one of the best defenses in the league holding good offenses to little or no points this year. Seattle has enough trouble with injuries and Frye did not look his best last week against the Packers. When Tampa Bay played as a home team as a Favorite and Vs Conference Opponent and Coming off a Home win the under is 10-2. When Seattle played as a Road team and is playing on a grass surface with six days off and coming off a Home loss as a Favorite the under is 11-3! This is a low scoring game controlled by the kickers, take this one to stay well below the total!

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