Patriots Vs Colts

The preliminaries are over. Eight blowout wins in eight games.Now the New England Patriots are preparing for their main event. Their weekly chatter about how good the upcoming opponent is finally makes sense when they talk about the Indianapolis Colts.''They've won however many straight, won a championship last year,'' Patriots coach Bill Belichick said Monday. ''They haven't been beaten since then. They've won however many straight at home. That's more than anybody else can say. That would put them No. 1 in my book.''Other readers of the NFL scene might disagree.Yes, Indianapolis has won 11 straight at home and 12 in a row overall. That includes the 38-34 win over New England in the AFC championship game, the last time the Patriots lost.This season, though, the Patriots (8-0) have been the best. Why else would they be favored by 5 1/2 points next Sunday against the Super Bowl champions, who are 7-0 and playing at home?One reason: Tom Brady, who has thrown 30 touchdowns and two interceptions and is on target to shatter NFL single-season records for scoring passes and passer rating.Another: Mike Vrabel, who forced three fumbles by quarterback Jason Campbell that led to 17 points in Sunday's 52-7 rout of the Washington Redskins.And there's Belichick, who has orchestrated it all, from the 41.4 points per game to the party line his players parrot when they downplay their own amazing accomplishments.''We just have to continue to get better,'' wide receiver Donte' Stallworth said. ''That's the one thing that Bill preaches all the time is correct your mistakes and make sure that they don't pile on and you make more and more mistakes as the weeks go on.''The win over the Redskins was the most lopsided in the NFL this season. Belichick might prefer to dwell on the touchdown with 3 minutes left that ruined the shutout.Where most people see Brady's 29 completions, Belichick might focus on the nine passes that fell incomplete Sunday.There was more:''Four false starts on offense isn't exactly what we're looking for,'' Belichick said. ''We're still trying to get our return game going. Defensively, we had our moments there. (The) two-minute drive at the end of the half, the end of the game, we could have played better.''And more:''We were fortunate,'' he added. ''We got some good breaks. We've had strip-sacks before and the ball bounces right back into the quarterback's hands. Yesterday we had one, Rosie (Colvin) turned around, wasn't even looking at the quarterback and the ball bounced right up into his hand for a touchdown.''Such problems.If he shows his players tape of last year's AFC title game, he'll have some real evidence.The Patriots were seemingly on their way to their fourth Super Bowl in six seasons with a 21-3 lead when they scored with 9:25 left in the second quarter. They were still in front at halftime, 21-6. But they were outgained by a more than 2-to-1 in the second half and lost 38-34.''That film will definitely come up. I can tell you that,'' Patriots defensive end Ty Warren said.The teams, though, have made many changes since then. New England's turnover was greater with the addition of wide receivers Randy Moss, Wes Welker and Stallworth and linebacker Adalius Thomas.So last year's playoff game will be just a small part of the preparation.''We'll mainly watch what they've been doing this year,'' Warren said. ''What we can't do is fall into the trap like we did with Indy in the playoffs where we jumped out in the first half, like what we did in Miami last week, and then (the Colts) won the second half and ended up winning the game.''The Patriots beat the Dolphins 49-28, but were upset that they squandered part of a 42-7 lead. They made sure they didn't let up against the Redskins.Leading 38-0, Brady threw a touchdown pass to Welker. On their next possession, backup quarterback Matt Cassel kept throwing then ran for a 15-yard touchdown.Against Peyton Manning and the Colts, the NFL's third-highest scoring team, the Patriots might have to keep piling on the points.''Our offense is always trying to score points,'' Belichick said. ''Why else would they go out on the field?''

GET THE BEST LINE ON THE GAME HERE!



Selection later in the week!

Week 8 Angles

New England (7-0 SU&ATS) crushed Miami last week for its seventh straight victory, both straight up and against the spread. The Patriots thus became the ninth team in the last 10 years to cash as many as seven games in a row. It doesn't require a long memory to recall the last two teams to accomplish this relatively rare feat: Buffalo and Tennessee rewarded its loyal supporters seven straight times last year.
Should New England get the money this Sunday when it hosts Washington (3-3, 3-2-1) , it would become the third team in the past 10 seasons to get the green in eight straight games, joining Pittsburgh and San Diego, who both turned the trick in 2004. The Philadelphia Eagles have the longest regular-season spread run of late, getting the cheddar in nine straight games in 2004.
The Patriots have 'covered' their last eight games in October and they are 11-1 ATS off a double-digit division win.
New England has been on the high side in six of seven games while averaging 39.9 points. However, the potent Pats have been on the low side in 23 of 33 games following a two-game road trip. They have also slipped 'under' in 12 of 16 when hosting an NFC team and in 17 of 23 off a SU road win versus a division foe.
Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 8 menu appear below.

BROWNS (3-3, 4-2) at RAMS (0-7 SU&ATS)
St. Louis has lost and failed in its first seven tries and is 0-5 as dogs this year and 1-7 ATS in its last eight at home. However, there are signs that skid could end. The Rams are 20-6 ATS at home off a division game and they have cashed at a 22-12-1 clip when hosting AFC teams. Conversely, Cleveland is 5-9-1 ATS on the road of late against NFC foes and 5-13-1 ATS coming off a SU win. The Browns have 'covered' 17 of 21 on the road when the total was 40 or more. Cleveland has zipped 'over' at a 5-0 clip while St. Louis has knuckled 'under' in five of six tries. The Browns have been on the low side in 16 of 19 when playing in domed stadiums and in 18 of 26 against a non-division opponent. The Rams have eclipsed the 'total' in 15 of 23 as non-conference dogs.

LIONS (4-2, 3-2-1) at BEARS (3-4, 2-5)
Chicago looks for revenge after losing the initial series meeting at Ford Field, 37-27. The series short-ender has cashed at an 11-4-1 clip. Detroit is 17-37 ATS on the road off a win and it is 1-8 as road pups of seven points or less. The Bears are 11-6-2 ATS versus division opponents. They have zipped 'over' in 15 of 19 as favorites and 11 of 13 as home chalk. The Lions have ducked 'under' in 15 of 23 as division road dogs.

COLTS (6-0, 4-1-1) at PANTHERS (4-2 SU&ATS)
Indianapolis must avoid looking ahead to next week's titanic tussle with New England. The Colts are 17-5-1 ATS on the road outside their division. They have also 'covered' 10 of 13 off a division road contest. Carolina is just 2-9-1 in its last dozen home games. However, the Panthers have 'covered' at a torrid 24-5-1 clip as underdogs. The defending champs have been on the high side at a 20-11-1 pace on the road when facing a non-division foe. Carolina has headed in the opposite direction in 13 of 17 after winning by 14 points or more and in 18 of 27 after yielding 10 points or less.

GIANTS (5-2 SU&ATS) versus DOLPHINS (0-7, 1-4-2) at London
The New York Giants have cashed five straight this year and seven straight in October. They are also 12-6 ATS prior to their bye week. Miami is 1-11 ATS during the first half of the past two seasons and it is 0-6 ATS after facing New England. The winless Dolphins have 'covered' nine of 11 as dogs of more than six points and at a 7-3-1 clip as short-enders when facing an NFC foe. New York has zipped 'over' in 14 of 21 games as a non-conference favorite. Miami has ducked 'under' in seven of nine as double-digit dogs.

RAIDERS (2-4 SU&ATS) at TITANS (4-2 SU&ATS)
Oakland is 19-10 as road dogs after two SU losses. However, the Raiders are 5-15 ATS after losing by three points or less and 2-14-1 ATS after losing SU as favorites. Tennessee has failed to get the cash in 20 of 28 as favorites of 3 1/2 to seven points. The Titans are also 2-9-1 ATS after winning by three points or less and 2-11 ATS after scoring 28 points or more. Oakland has trickled 'under' in 17 of 19 on the road when facing teams with a winning record and in 13 of 15 on the highway after the first month of the season. Tennessee has topped the 'total' at a 20-8-1 clip at LP Field.

EAGLES (2-4 SU&ATS) at VIKINGS (2-4, 2-2-2)
Philadelphia is 25-12 ATS against NFC-North opposition and 14-9 ATS on the road as favorites against conference opponents. The Eagles have also cashed at a 21-13-1 clip when playing under domes. Minnesota has cashed 20 of 29 as home pups. The Vikings have dipped 'under' in 23 of 32 on the heels of a two-game trip. Philadelphia has been on the low side in 10 of 13 as a non-division road favorite.

STEELERS (4-2 SU&ATS) at BENGALS (2-4, 2-3-1)
Pittsburgh has won 13 of its last 16 at Cincinnati (12-4 ATS). The Steelers are also 18-6-2 ATS versus division foes on the road. The Bengals are 1-7 ATS at home in October off a SU win. They have cashed 15 of 18 when playing their second division game at Paul Brown Stadium. The home team has failed to cash in nine of the past 10 series showdowns. Pittsburgh has slipped 'under' in 13 of 17 on the road after losing SU as favorites. Cincinnati has topped the 'total' in 25 of 36 as division home dogs.

BILLS (2-4, 4-2) at JETS (1-6, 1-5-1)
Buffalo has 'covered' three straight and 11 of its last 15, though it has come up short in its last three on the road. The Bills are 4-15 ATS away from home after cashing three of four. They have 'covered' six of eight division road tests. The New York Jets have cashed 10 of 15 series meetings at The Meadowlands and five of seven clashes overall. The Jets are 4-13-1 ATS after allowing 28 points or more. Four of the last five series encounters have zipped 'over.' New York has eclipsed the number in eight of nine at home when it was between 35 1/2 and 38.

TEXANS (3-4, 2-4-1) at CHARGERS (3-3 SU&ATS)
Houston is 16-6 ATS after losing by 10 points or less and 7-1 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses. The Texans are 12-21-1 ATS when facing a non-division foe and just 4-13 as non-division dogs of three points or more. San Diego is 13-6 ATS off a double-digit division win. The SU winner is 8-0 ATS when Houston faces an AFC-West opponent. The Texans have gone 'under' in 18 of 29 as road dogs.

JAGUARS (4-2, 3-3) at TAMPA BAY (4-3 SU&ATS)
Jacksonville is 22-10-1 outside its division while Tampa Bay is 31-16-2 at home against non-division opponents. The Bucs have been on the low side at a 36-13-1 pace at home when facing teams outside their division.

SAINTS (2-4, 1-5) at 49ERS (2-4, 2-3-1)
New Orleans has lost eight of its last 10 at San Francisco, but cashed seven of 10. The Saints are 16-5 ATS off a home win versus a division rival. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in Game 8. Seven of the past 10 series scrapes at San Francisco have been on the high side.

PACKERS (4-2 SU&ATS) at BRONCOS (1-5 SU&ATS)
Green Bay is 2-9-1 ATS versus AFC foes. Denver has cashed nine of 12 after scoring 28 points or more. The Broncos are 5-15 ATS after winning SU as dogs and 1-9 ATS at home before playing back-to-back road games. They have zipped 'over' in 24 of 36 as favorites against NFC opposition and at a 20-5-1 clip as home favorites of 3 1/2 points or less.

Monday Night Football

Jacksonville +3

The home dog angle on Monday night is something I covet (19-8-2 ATS,L29 70.3%) but you have to be careful on the team. Last week the Falcons showed that it doesn’t always matter if you are the home team. This week it will matter. The Jacksonville M.O. has been clearly identified. The Jaguars will run the ball behind running backs Fred Taylor and electric Maurice Jones-Drew. The duo is averaging 154 yards a game on the ground against defenses that have allowed 30 yards less per game. The 4.8 yards per carry is among the best in the league against a much improved Indianapolis run defense. David Garrard is playing with the calm of a quarterback, who is not filling in for someone else, rather as one who earned the job and is in control of the situation. The Colts want revenge but defense wins ballgames and the Jags have a superb defense and out weighs the Colts offensive line. I do not think it will be a blowout and thin it will be close so I will take the points.

Trends:
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more in 3 straight games21-17 over the last 10 seasons. ( 55.3% 0.0 units )0-3 this year. ( 0.0% 0.0 units )

When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as a Home team - After a conference game - Allowed 17 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 15-3-1ATS

When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as a Home team - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a win on grass they are 24-15-4ATS

When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - Allowed 17 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 7-4-1 ATS

NFL Week 7

This week the Super Seven looks for the third consecutive winning week and to finish above .500 on the week.


7) Buffalo +3
When did the Ravens become good enough to be a road favorite? The Bills made news because they want to ask for permission to play football in Canada. The fan base is made up of 15,000 Canadians that will show up and support the Bills to try and get the team across the border. Crazy fan base and good home dog equals disaster for the Ravens. Baltimore has struggled on the road, failing to 'cover' its last six as favorites and dropping 15 of 22 on the highway, both SU and ATS. The Ravens are 2-9 ATS after allowing less than seven points as well. Buffalo is 8-3-2 as home dogs of three points or more when facing a non-division opponent.

6) Texans +1.5
This quite simply put is the wrong line on this game as the Texans should be favored by at least three even if Vince Young was playing. The Texans are 8-4-1 ATS at home against a division foe and have a better defense and a solid offense to get the win over the Titans on Sunday.

5) Jets +7
For the Jets Quarterback Chad Pennington it is now and never and another loss will most likely see him on the bench and maybe his tenure with the Jets will be over. The Jets have played just well enough to lose this year but are in it for most of the game. This week they get a defenseless Bengals team that is still highly over rated by the lines maker.

4) Lions -2
The Lions will have to get back on the winning track if they want to reach that ten win plateau that was promised at the start of the season. The Bucs will have a tough team keeping on defense on the home turf of the Lions. The Bucs are 3-17 ATS on the road against non-division foes and 3-15 ATS on the highway in October off a SU win. They have also dropped nine of 13 ATS after allowing 10 points or less.

3) Eagles -5
The Bears defense was exposed last weekend by Adrian Peterson and you have to believe that the Eagles were taking notes. The Eagles are quietly sneaking up in the division and this win becomes pivotal keeping up with the other teams in division. Philadelphia has prospered against teams from the NFC-North (25-11 ATS). The Eagles are also 14-8 ATS at home off a SU and ATS win and 17-9-2 at home after allowing 10 points or less. Chicago is 11-24-2 after losing SU as favorites

2) Denver +3.5
Denver is miserable and is already in panic mode. IN a game that was supposed to be a battle for the division the Broncos were hammered by the Chargers and then had a week to think about it. Shanahan will have his team ready and could sneak out the win at home in prime time. The Broncos have excelled in two spots, home underdogs and off a bye week. The Steelers are just 6-17-1 as non-division favorites on the highway. The Broncos are 15-4 ATS off a bye and they have cashed at a 15-8-2 pace off a SU loss to a division rival. They are also 27-14-1 as underdogs.

1) Jacksonville +3 & Over 44.5
Since this is the Super Seven and it is week seven I wanted to add a bonus eighth play and make sure it was on Monday night. This is the Jaguars Super Bowl and if there is ever a team that plays Peyton Manning and the Colts well it’s the Jags. Jacksonville is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 confrontations with Indianapolis. The Jaguars are an imposing 17-4-1 as underdogs and they have cashed 21 of 28 at home off a division win. Five of the last six encounters at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium have stormed 'over.' This is a shoot out and the home team wins in the end.

Monday night Football

Monday Night Football

This game stinks tonight and everyone knows it or thinks it, so why the low line? The Falcons have shown time and time again that this season is not about winning, but rebuilding with a new coach. This team has fought with each other and been dismantled and separated all year. It shows as the line is rising as it opened at about 3.5 and is now above in 5 in some places. Harrington was benched but he will be back tonight for the start and the Falcons have two big tackles that will miss tonight’s game.
The only reason for this line being so small is because they are playing on Monday Night, in the past (see last week) home dogs have played well under the Monday Night Lights. The problem is the records will show you that both teams do not play well on Monday night, so let’s forget the babble and go with my plays tonight because I love this game, so much so that I have five plays in this game.

Game: Atlanta +5
Under 44

First Halves: Atl +3 first half
Under 21.5 f/h

Parlay: Atl +5
Under 44

The game plan is simple for the Falcons, play a two tight end set and get maximum protection in for Harrington. Look for Harrington to revert to 2-3 step drops and get the passes out quickly. The Giants ran 39 times last week and that allowed for a well controlled tempo game. They will do this again and set up the run against the birds. What this will do is allow for clock control and avoid a huge blowout in this game keeping it close.

Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing NY GiantsThe total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing NY GiantsAtlanta is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Under is 22-6 in Falcons last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-3 in Falcons last 14 games overall.
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 vs. NFC.
Under is 40-12-2 in Falcons last 54 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Favorite - During Week 4 to 8 - After a non division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a win on turf they are 3-7 ATS

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 Road Favorite - Before a non division game - Coming off a Home win the under is 11-2

When ANY NFL Team played as a Road team - During Week 4 to 8 - Coming off a win on turf(NYG) the under is 100-65-2

When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing in dome surface - Coming off a 4-7 point loss they are 10-5 ATS


When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as a Home team - Total is between 41.5 to 44 - Allowed 14 - 21 AGAINST in their last game the under is 11-3

When ANY NFL Team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 Underdog - Playing in dome surface - Scored 13 points or less FOR in their last game they are 63-41-3 (ATL)

Monday Night Football Dallas @ Buffalo

I am going to start this game off by looking at the consensus numbers. I use consensus numbers as part of my handicapping process but they are never a primary tool. The theory with consensus is simple bet against the teams the public are betting on because more than likely the public will lose. This is not always the case which is why I don’t make it a major tool.

Tonight’s consensus as of now:
69% are on Dallas
65% are on the over

Food for thought, if you went against every team that had a 60% or more following you would have gone 5-1.

GET THE BEST LINE FOR TONIGHT'S GAME HERE


Pure Numbers: Some handicappers overlook pure numbers and I think that could be a crucial mistake. Make sure to look at defensive numbers and turnovers and penalties. Dallas numbers look very nice punctuated by a 4-0 ATS the mark, but look at the teams they have played. Giants, Miami, the Bears and the Rams, two of these teams have yet to win a game so you would expect to take the nice numbers that Dallas shows with a grain of salt. Dallas is second only to the Baltimore Ravens in total penalties (32) and penalty yards (266). The numbers for the Cowboys’ run defense are respectable only because opponents trail by three scores in the third quarter and have to abandon the ground game. Cowboys owner Jerry Jones is concerned. Why else would he bring in Tank Johnson to play nose tackle, a position unfamiliar to him? The Bills however are not the great themselves ranking last in or close to it in defensive categories.

Team reports: It is important to try and get into the psyche of the players and the teams as they prepare for the game, for that I look at fan sites and local newspapers and try to sift through the mediocre stuff and find the meat if there is any. The first thing that I found is the obvious the Bills are at home on a Monday night for the first time in a long time. When it comes to the starting QB you get the usual rhetoric from the coach: “Trent’s the guy playing this week, and we hope he does an unbelievable job and he gives us a chance to win the game,” said Bills coach Dick Jauron. “And then we’ll see what happens.” The truth of the matter is that this is Edwards team now and he played well against the Jets, if he does it again tonight the job will be his all year. The one great thing is that he is starting to get his players to believe in him. “Trent Edwards did a good job of dishing the ball out and finding the open guy,” said receiver Roscoe Parrish. “That’s something he needs to continue to do, have faith in getting the ball in guys’ hands. We know we’re going to have to score some points.” The game plan will be to set up the pass with running Lynch, which could work considering Williams likes to cheat on the run and running between tackles will eat the clock and have Williams biting and that will open the Dallas secondary up to slants and deep outs. In the Dallas papers there is plenty of talk about the record setting pace the team is on offensively and of course next week’s game against the Patriots. I am not sold on them looking past this game tonight, but I don’t see them giving the Bills too much respect either.

Trends: When looking at trends I like to find trends that are evident to the games of late and that matter in tonight’s meeting. Dallas is 2-12 ATS off a win by 28+ points and Buffalo is 24-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less. The Bills are 9-3 ATS as home dogs in non conference play. The Cowboys are 5-15 ATS away vs the AFC and cold be looking ahead to this Patriot game. Super Trends: When ANY NFL Team played as a Home team - Before a conference game - During the month of October - During Week 4 to 8 - Scored 14 - 21 POINTS FOR in their last game - Coming off a 1 ATS win they are 22-11-1 ATS (Buffalo)When ANY NFL Team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Playing on Monday - Coming off a win - Coming off a Win over NFC West opponent they are 8-15 ATS (Dallas)

Overall: The Bills always play tough at home which was proven when they took the Broncos to the last second in week one and playing on Monday night will make this game even bigger. What everyone fails to notice because they score so many touch downs is that the Cowboys have a rookie kicker and he could feel the heat in National TV if he has to make a big kick. The home crowd will help and the Boys defense will have to work hard to keep Lynch at bay leaving the passing lanes open, and look for a special teams play by the Bills. If you have not figured it out by now I am on the home team.Total: I am not going to play the total tonight but if I did it would be the under. The Bills will look to keep the cowboys off the field as much as possible and control the clock and look at the weather. Multiple weather stations are forecasting a 30 percent chance of precipitation with a possibility of thunderstorms in the Buffalo area.

Buffalo +10.5 +100

NFL Notes and Picks

NFL Today

Arizona at St. Louis (+3 ½)
St. Louis has lost its last two home games against Arizona after beating the Cardinals three straight times on its own field.

Atlanta at Tennessee (-9)
The Falcons have been outscored 37-10 in dropping their first two road games this season. They have not opened a year 0-3 away from home since losing their first six road games in 1996.

Carolina at New Orleans (-3)
David Carr and Steve Smith could have success against a New Orleans defense that has given up 239.0 passing yards per game - third-most in the conference.

Cleveland at New England (-16 ½)
New England has won three straight and five of the last six meetings against Cleveland. The Browns haven't won a road game against the Patriots since Oct. 25, 1992.

Detroit at Washington (-3 ½)
Detroit is 0-17 in Washington. This will be the first meeting between the Lions and Redskins since Nov. 7, 2004, when Detroit won 17-10 at home.

Jacksonville at Kansas City (+1)
The Chiefs beat the Jaguars 35-30 at home on Dec. 31, clinching a wild card spot when other outcomes swung in their favor. Larry Johnson had 138 yards rushing and three touchdowns. The Jaguars, however, have won four of the six all-time meetings between the teams.

Miami at Houston (-5 ½)
Houston has won its only two meetings with Miami, a one-point victory in 2003 and a two-point victory last season at home, Gary Kubiak's first NFL win.



N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants (-3 ½)
The Giants have won the last three meetings with the Jets and six of 10 all-time meetings. The Giants' last loss in the series came Oct. 31, 1993.

Seattle at Pittsburgh (-5 ½)
Seattle has won four of these teams' five regular-season meetings since 1993, but Pittsburgh has won eight straight home games against NFC opponents since a 33-21 defeat to St. Louis on Oct. 26, 2003. The Steelers have won their two home games this year by a combined 63-19.

Tampa Bay at Indianapolis (-10)
The Bucs weren't good defensively in their last meeting with the Colts on Oct. 6, 2003, as Indianapolis trailed 28-7 in the fourth quarter before rallying to tie the score at 35 with 35 seconds left. The Colts went on to win 38-35 in overtime, with Manning finishing 34-of-47 for 386 yards with two touchdowns and one interception.

Baltimore at San Francisco (+3 ½)
These teams last met on Nov. 30, 2003 in Baltimore, and the Ravens won 44-6.

San Diego at Denver (-1)
San Diego always has a tough time on the road against the Broncos. The Chargers rallied from a 17-point deficit for a 35-27 victory in their last game in Denver on Nov. 19, but that win was their first one there since 2000.



Chicago at Green Bay (-3)
The Bears have won four of the last six meetings between the teams, including three straight at Lambeau Field.

Dallas at Buffalo (+10)
This will be the first meeting between the Bills and Cowboys since Nov. 9, 2003, when Dallas won 10-6 at home. The Cowboys are 4-3 against the Bills in the regular season.

Picks
San Diego +1
KC +2
Bears +3