Patriots at Giants Game of the year!!

Patriots Vs Giants

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Since the Patriots / Giants game is such a big game I wanted to post as much information as possible on the game.

My selection is UNDER 46.5

The information posted below is just some solid information I have found on the game and does not reflect how I feel but the goal is to share as much information as possible.



New England at NY GiantsWhile both teams are locked into their respective playoff spots, the Patriots still have plenty to play for both on the individual front for Tom Brady (single-season TD passing record) and Randy Moss (single-season TD receiving record), and the team front (perfect season). The Giants are not likely to play much of the game at full strength. But even with all their starters in the lineup, they are the only team to make the playoffs with a losing record at home (3-4). New England should have just enough to cover (-14 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29Game 411-412: New England at NY GiantsDunkel Ratings: New England 148.567; NY Giants 133.003Dunkel Line: New England by 15 1/2; 42Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 44 1/2Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2); Under

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 17

Saturday, December 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------NEW ENGLAND (15 - 0) at NY GIANTS (10 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 8:15 PMTop Trends for this game.NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in December games since 1992.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.NEW ENGLAND is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.NEW ENGLAND is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.Head-to-Head Series HistoryThere were no past matchups in this series during this time period. NFL SHORT SHEETWeek 17Saturday, December 29thNew England at NY Giants, 8:15 EST TV- NFL, NBC, CBSNew England: 6-0 ATS away off a division gameNY Giants: 0-7 ATS at home in the second half of the season

NFL WRITE-UP

Week 17Week 17 NFL scoreboardVery strange week looms ahead, as most of the playoff spots are already sewn up, so motivation and who-plays-how much is the big question of the week. More than most weeks, keeping your ears to the TV for late news Saturday night/Sunday will be very helpful in your handicapping efforts.Saturday, December 29Patriots (15-0) @ Giants (10-5) -- New York has playoff game next week, so they're more likely to sit any nicked-up starters than the Patriots, who have next week off. NE covered just one of last five games, winning by 3-3-21-10-21 points- they're 5-2 as road faves with five wins by 21+ pts. Pats allowed two offensive TDs in last 31 drives by opponents. Giants are 3-2 vs spread as an underdog this season- their losses are by 10-22-11-24-12 pts. Does anyone think Giants would beat New England, even if they did go all out? Over is 5-2 in New England road games this season.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---

Tips and Trends

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---New England Patriots at New York Giants(NFL/CBS/NBC 8:15 PM ET)There are no playoff implications in this game yet it's obviously one of the biggest regular-season finales in the history of the NFL as the Patriots look to complete the 1st unbeaten 16-0 season. "We know we have an opportunity to get to 16," New England QB Tom Brady said. "That would be a great accomplishment for this team." Brady also needs just 2 touchdown passes to break Indy QB Peyton Manning's single-season record, and WR Randy Moss needs 2 TD catches to replace Jerry Rice as the single-season record holder. BIG EDGE: PATRIOTSOf New England's last 6 wins, 4 have been decided by 10 points or less. New York also knocked off a previously unbeaten 13-0 Denver team at the Meadowlands back on December 13th, 1998. "Of course you play every game to win, and so all of our thoughts are on that," Giants head coach Tom Coughlin said. "All of our thoughts are on trying to figure out how we can be in a position to defeat a team that is 15-0 and a very, very good team." SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTSThe Giants are just 3-4 at home this season and has not won at the Meadowlands since beating San Francisco there on October 21st. They have lost their last 3 at home and are also expected to rest key starters, including RB Brandon Jacobs, who has a nagging ankle injury and rushed for a season-high 145 yards last week at Buffalo.EDGE: PATRIOTSGiants are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.Patriots are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games.Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Week 17 games.The UNDER is 8-0-1 in New England's last 9 Saturday games.--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---NFL game day buzz: Week 17 betting notes--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---

Monday Night Football

Monday Night Sneak Sheet

Monday night Football

At the start of the year no one would have guessed that the Vikings would be fighting for a playoff spot and the Bears would be looking forward to next year. That is exactly the case going into tonight’s game and the Vikings have more reason to win now than ever as the Saints and the Redskins yesterday putting some serious heat on the Vikings to stay ahead of the game in the playoff hunt.

The fall of the Bears defense has been as swift as it has been demoralizing. It almost incomprehensible to believe the defense in the white and navy uniforms with orange trim was in a Super Bowl just over 10 months ago and is now ranked 29th in the league. Such is life in the ever-changing NFL , taking on a Minnesota squad that is 44-20 ATS when they rush for 125 or more yards.
With Chicago’s porous run defense, it hardly seems fair for them to face Peterson and Taylor behind the domineering blocks of T Bryant McKinnie and G Steve Hutchinson. Minnesota averages 27 points a game at home and is 6-0 ATS at the Metrodome when they score 22 to 28 points.
When CHICAGO BEARS team played as a Road team - During the month of December - vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % they are 2-8 ATS

When MINNESOTA VIKINGS team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Coming off a Road win they are 8-3-1 ATS

The Vikings control the line of scrimmage and dominate against the Bears tonight at home.

Vikings -10

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Saturday Night NFL

NFL Tonight

Sorry so late about getting this one out, but I do like it.

Game:
Bengals/ 49ers Over 42
SF +8

First Half:
SF +5
Over 21.5 -105

SF ML +300

This game looks ugly on paper but I think we are in for a good game tonight. Sure both teams have lost plenty of ball games and they don’t have anything to play for so what’s so good about it? The defenses are both very suspect and this will open up the scoring and that always makes for a good game. The Shaun Hill era begins tonight for the 49ers. The Bengals are nothing special on defense, ranking 26th overall, 22nd against the run and 25th against the pass. The 49ers will probably have Hill throw safe, high-percentage passes. Look for tight end Delanie Walker to have a big day based on his history with Hill in the preseason and scout offense. "It's been looking good with Shaun at quarterback," Walker said. "The game plan is very simple. We're going to do what we did last week - execute underneath passes and get the ball out as quickly as possible. I'm going to be a key factor again this week. I do run a lot of underneath routes. It'll be there if he looks for it."
I have plenty of reasons for backing the home niners but my main one is this. The Benglas not only have a horrible defense but they have only one once on the road this year and that is not a good recipe to back the chalk. Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS off an Under and San Francisco is 10-3 ATS after scoring 9 or less points. The 49ers have motivation to win this game tonight and do well on offense and with that they warrant a play tonight.

The Bengals are 4-8 ATS.
The Bengals are 1-4 ATS away.
The Bengals are 3-4 ATS as the favorite.
The Bengals are 0-2 ATS as an away favorite.

When CINCINNATI BENGALS team played as a Road team - During the month of December - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games - Coming off a win on grass they are 4-14-1 ATS

When SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS team played as a Home team - During Week 12 to 16 - Coming off a 1 under they are 9-3 ATS AND 11-1 SU!
When ANY NFL Team played as a Home team - During Week 12 to 16 - vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning % they are 165-83-1 SU

NFL Thursday Night

Thursday Night NFL

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Houston +1.5

Don’t sleep on the Texans tonight. The Texans showed they still have some fight left as they steamrolled the Buccaneers when Tampa really needed the win. Some that back Houston may think it is about the offense that is looking good, but I point to the defense and the pass rush that is living up to the hype! At home on national TV (sort of) I will take Houston to win this one! When Houston plays the AFC West the straight up winner is 11-0 ATS
When DENVER BRONCOS team played as a Road team - Playing on grass surface - Before a conference game - Coming off a Home win they are 6-13-2 ATS

When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Coming off 1 ATS win they are 9-4 ATS

More NFL Sunday

NFL Best Bet

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Sunday’s Best Bet

Today for my best bet I am going to look at the game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks.

The play is OVER 44.


Arizona comes into this game with a chance to have the best record they have had since 2001 but they have to get by the Seahawks and they are looking for revenge after losing in the desert. Seattle has started passing a bit more this year than last year and that will equal plenty of points as the Cardinals secondary is in shambles decimated by injury. Five of the past six series encounters have been on the high side. Arizona has topped the 'total' in 13 of 17 as road pups. In fact 15 of the last 21 games have gone over for the Cardinals when they play as road dogs.

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a -7.0 to -9.5 Favorite - Before a non division game - Scored 28 points or more FOR in their last game the over is 8-2

When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as a 7 to 9.5 Road Underdog - With 6 day off - Coming off a Home win - Allowed 21 points or less AGAINST in their last game the over is 9-2

When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Last 4 years - Coming off a Home win the over is 10-2

When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as Road team as a Underdog - With 6 day off - After a non division game - Coming off 1 ATS win the over is 20-13

More great plays:

49ers +8.5
Vikings / 49ers
The Vikings are having a good year but catch the lowly niners in a tough spot as they are in a divisional sandwich. It gets worse for the Vikings. The Vikings are 2-11-1 against the spread as road favorites the last four weeks of the season. In addition, they have failed to cash at a 4-18 clip on the highway versus poor passing teams that average 5.7 or less yards per attempt during the second half of the season

When MINNESOTA VIKINGS team played as Road team as a Favorite - With 6 day off - Coming off back to back SU wins they are 4-12-2 ATS

When MINNESOTA VIKINGS team played as a Road team - During the month of December - Coming off vs National Conference opponent - Coming off a win in dome they are 3-8-3 ATS.

Houston +3
Houston/ Tampa Bay
The Tampa Bay Bucs can clinch with a win today in Houston but that will be easier said than done. The second game on the road for the Bucs and they will not get the breaks they got last week against the Saints.
The Bucs have dropped 18 of 21 ATS on the road against non-division foes and 16 of 25 on the highway ATS in December. They have also stumbled in 11 of 15 ATS after winning SU as underdogs. Houston is 12-4-1 ATS following two straight spread setbacks.
When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Home team - With 6 day off - Coming off a lost on grass they are 11-6 ATS
When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as Road team as a Favorite - During Week 12 to 16 - Allowed 24 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 1-10 ATS

When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as a Road team - During Week 12 to 16 - vs. opponent with a 41% to 50% winning % they are 3-10-1 ATS

When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as a pk to 3 Road Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - Allowed 24 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 1-9 ATS

Sunday NFL

Sneak Sheet

Wall to Wall Football!

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NFL Today

One unit: Carolina +10.5
Carolina / Jacksonville

Carolina has had a tough season with injuries taking them out of the playoff race and making it very tough on the panthers. Jacksonville is off a tough loss to the Colts in a game where they wanted to win to prove to the Colts they could take the division. Carolina has the edge in this one, it may be close which is one I kept it at one unit but this number is inflated and off by about 4-5 points. Carolina is 17-6 ATS away in December. Carolina is 49-28 as road dogs and it has cashed 19 of 26 after coming up short in three of its previous four games ATS.The Jaguars are 2-8 ATS before facing Pittsburgh
Play On - Road teams (CAROLINA) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games, in December. games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as a Home team - Vs Non Division Opponent - Playing on grass surface - Coming off 1 game loss they are 3-7-1 ATS
When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a conference game - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 11-1 ATS
When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - Allowed 14 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 13-3 ATS

One Unit: Lions +10.5
Detroit / Dallas
This game has brought a lot of attention to the Dallas defense as they have gone on record as saying that they are coming after Kitna and will pay a fine if they need to. This is not good to make public in my opinion and the referees will be watching and you can be sure the 15 yard flags will be flying against that defense. A small play on the lions looking to try and win one and get back in the playoff hunt. Detroit is 18-7 ATS off 3+ ATS losses. The Cowboys have dropped 18 of 21 ATS on the highway after 'covering' the spread in three of their last four games. Conversely, Detroit is 18-7 ATS after three or more straight losses. The Lions have shown resiliency after being out-gained by 100 or more total yards two consecutive games with 12-2 ATS mark, including 4-0 the last three seasons.

One Unit: Miami +7
Miami / Buffalo
The Dolphins have yet to win and its hard to think that will change in Buffalo where they have always had problems in the winter. With the exceptions of a few games the Dolphins have managed to keep it close in the losses they have and they should do that again!
PLAY AGAINST any NFL division home favorite of -4 or more who failed to score 21 or more points in any of its last three games if he is off a SU and ATS win and is going into revenge.

26 Year ATS = 13-1 for 92.8%.
When MIAMI DOLPHINS team played as a Road team - With 6 day off - Coming off 1 ATS lost they are 17-9-1 ATS

Three Units: Eagles -3
Eagles / Giants
Finally a favorite makes my list of plays and it’s with the Eagles. The Eagles are looking for revenge and will have the key components back in action. Eli Manning has had a poor season and the Eagles defense will take advantage of this. New York upset Philadelphia as three-point home dogs in the first meeting of the season, 16-3, cashing for only the third time in the last nine encounters. The Eagles are 44-22 ATS when in revenge mode and 17-6 ATS avenging an upset loss against an opponent as favorites.
When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Vs NFC East opponent - Coming off a Road win - Allowed 14 - 21 AGAINST in their last game they are 5-10 ATS
When PHILADELPHIA EAGLES team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Before a conference game - Scored 24 points or less FOR in their last game they are 8-3 ATS

Two units: Over 39.5
Oakland / Green Bay
This game is going to be all about the offense and the numbers should be high and I would not be surprised if this total is eclipsed in the first half. Green Bay has zipped 'over' in 16 of 26 at Lambeau Field in December.
When GREEN BAY PACKERS team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Coming off vs National Conference opponent the over is 11-6.
When OAKLAND RAIDERS team played as a Road team - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off 2 game winning streak - Coming off back to back SU wins the over is 8-5 ATS.

San Diego / Tennessee
I have a lean to the Titans at home but I am going to pass on this game. I did dig up some interesting trends so I will post them but overall it is a pass. San Diego is 21-8 ATS on the road after allowing 10 points or less and 12-3 ATS on the highway after having won six or seven of eight. Tennessee has 'covered' 24 of 29 as non-division dogs off a SU win. The Chargers have eclipsed the 'total' in 10 of 12 when it was between 35 1/2 and 42 and the Titans have followed suit in 15 of 20 with the same numbers in play. Tennessee has also been on the high side in 12 of 15 as home dogs of three points or less. San Diego is 6-0 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games and Tennessee is 17-6 ATS off a division home win.
When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % they are 80-52-9 ATS (TENN)

Cincinnati / St. Louis
This is another pass for me as I really want to take the bengals since Bulger will not be playing for the Rams, but the bengals defense is so bad I don’t know if I can trust them, but again here are some good trends and information for those that are playing it. St. Louis is 34-17 Over vs. non-conference opponents and Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS after scoring 14 or less points. St. Louis is 10-28-2 ATS on the road against a non-division foe. Cincinnati is 20-13-2 ATS hosting an NFC team. The Rams have slipped 'under' in seven of 11 games this year, including four of five on the road. But they have zoomed 'over' in 16 of 24 as non-conference dogs.
When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Road team - During Week 12 to 16 - Coming off 1 ATS win they are 2-9 ATS. When CINCINNATI BENGALS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - Coming off a lost on grass the over is 7-3.

Monday Night Football

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Now on to the games:

NFL
This game is a big one for the Ravens as they have a beef to pick with Thomas as he left the Ravens for the Patriots and since has been in a verbal joust with Ray Lewis. The Ravens offense has been a mess, but they are at home on a Monday Night and to me that is always worth a look at the dog. The defense can learn from the Eagles and pressure Brady and keep this close, but I can’t trust the offense of the Ravens so with all of this, I am going to pass.

There is a wind advisory and tonight the wind will play a factor in the game. I will play the total tonight. Brady has played more than one game with tough winds and he played brilliantly and scored plenty of points. The under seems to be the fan favorite but I am going the other way here. Just keeping this at one unit, but will play the over.

Over 47

NFL Super Picks!

NFL Today!

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Buffalo +6

The Redskins are the sentimental pick with the death of Sean Taylor, but the team has not played well at all losing games they had a good chance of winning. The Redskins have a habit of falling down late in the year. When WASHINGTON REDSKINS played as Home Favourite- in the month of November they are 7-23 ATS. Buffalo is 7-2 ATS off BB Overs and Washington is 0-5 ATS off BB games with 400+ total yards

Detroit +4

The lions need to win now to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Vikings are off an impressive win against the Giants, but are not ready to move to the next level. Lions passing attack can expose the Vikings and win outright. Detroit is 18-6 ATS off 3+ ATS losses and Minnesota is 2-11 ATS off a win by 14+ points as an underdog

When MINNESOTA VIKINGS team played as a Home team - After a conference game - Coming off 2 game winning streak they are 3-9 ATS
When DETROIT LIONS team played as a Road team - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off vs National Conference opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Underdog they are 8-3 ATS.

Arizona -1
The Cardinals are a much different team at home as evident by the win earlier in the year against the Steelers. The Browns are another team that has had problems playing late in the season.
When CLEVELAND BROWNS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - Before a non division game - Allowed 17 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 3-8-1 ATS.
When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as a Home team - Last 4 years - Coming off a lost on grass they are 12-3 ATS

Arizona / Cleveland OVER 51.5
This game is going to be a meeting of some serious offenses and the defenses will not be able to slow them down. Look for some solid passing numbers this week. When CLEVELAND BROWNS team played as a Road team - Playing on grass surface - Allowed 17 points or less AGAINST in their last game the over is 13-3-1. When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite - With 6 day off - Coming off vs National Conference opponent the over is 17-9-1. When CLEVELAND BROWNS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a Home win the over is 11-1-1. Arizona is 13-5 Over playing on artificial turf.

KC +6
The Chiefs already beat the Chargers once and are now pegged as big dogs at home. The chargers have the revenge, but the Chiefs match up well against them which are why they beat them so badly the first time. San Diego is 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and Kansas City is 5-1 ATS off a division loss. When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Underdog - With 6 day off - Playing on grass surface - Coming off a lost on grass they are 15-1-2 ATS. When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - Allowed 20 points or more AGAINST in their last game they are 18-4-2 ATS.

Atlanta +3
The Rams are not a good team, and while the Falcons are not very good but they can play at the same level as the Rams and that makes those three points very valuable. Atlantais 6-1 ATS off BB Overs and St. Louis is 1-6 ATS off an Under. When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - Coming off 1 game loss they are 4-14 ATS. When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Home team - During Week 12 to 16 - Coming off a Home loss they are 4-12 ATS. When ST. LOUIS RAMS team played as a Home team - Total is between 41.5 to 44 - Scored 20 points or less FOR in their last game - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games they are 5-13-2 ATS. When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as a Road team - Last 5 years - Coming off a lost in dome they are 9-5-1 ATS.

Oakland +3.5
The Denver Broncos narrowly escaped with a win the last time they played the Raiders and now the have to travel to the black hole. Is anyone paying attention to Justin Fargas? This running back is finally getting some carries and he is one the leading rushers over the last 3 weeks. When DENVER BRONCOS team played as a Road team - During the month of December - Coming off 1 ATS lost they are 3-9 ATS.