Sunday, October 26, 2008

NFL Picks Oct 26th

1. Sunday October 26th San Diego / Saints Over 47 (London)
I know Reggie Bush won’t be in the lineup for the Saints when they got o London but the Saints and the Chargers can still give the fans what they want and that is a high scoring game. Neither team has played impressive on defense but on offense they know how to score. San Diego has been on the high side in 23 of 31 as non-conference favorites and the Saints are 5-1 over off back to back unders. This is a high scoring giving the fans in London some fireworks!
2.

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Sunday October 26th Miami +1

Every week we find a stinky line that sticks out and take advantage of it. Our stinky lines have done well as last week it was the Packers over the Colts, and the week before that the Falcons over the Bears. This week it’s the Dolphins and it helps that we get a home divisional dog in this game. The Bills have lost eight of their last 13 at Dolphins Stadium and the Bills are only 3-9-1 as division favorites on the highway. The Dolphins unleash a offense that Bills will have trouble keeping up with. The small dog bites back at home this week, take Miami!

3. Sunday October 26th Pittsburgh -3

Two of the best teams match up in what is easily the best game of the week. The edge this week goes to the Steelers as they have one of the best fan basses in the league and that will lead to a great home field advantage. The Steelers have also played the toughest schedule in the league and will be ready for this one. They know how to play against good teams as evident by this stat. Pittsburgh is 27-9 ATS versus top-level teams (win percentage of 75 of more). The Steelers pull off a huge win at home and defeat the defending champions showing the world they are ready to compete for the crown this year!

4. Monday October 27th Colts +4
The titans have been winning with a solid running game and a quality defense and this week that defense will be put to the test against a Colts team that is off an embarrassing loss. The Colts need to win this game and will give the Titans the first loss of the year. The titans have not really played any tough teams up until this game. The titans are just 10-22 ATS as home favorites between 3.5 and 7 points. The Titans finally get a true test and fail as the Colts keep hopes alive of winning the division. The last four series encounters have been decided by a grand total of 12 points and Indianapolis has won eight of nine versus the Titans. Indianapolis has thrived against top-level opposition (win percentage of 75 or more), cashing eight straight. The Colts win on Monday Night!

5. Sunday October 26th Browns +7

The Browns may not be winning all games but it’s not for lack of effort. After whipping the defending champions they came back to the play the Skins to the wire after it looked like they were going to get blown out. Cleveland has covered 10 straight after playing its last game on the road. The Browns are also 14-3 ATS on grass and 6-0 ATS off a road loss. Jacksonville never seems to put a complete game together and that leaves the door wide open for the Browns to steal a big game on the road. Take the Browns.

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6. Sunday October 26th Raiders +7
We are taking a chance on my second road seven point dog of the week. In fact this is the second week in a row the Raiders make the cut as we had them last week to beat the Packers. Flaco has looked good for the Ravens but enough to warrant them big home favorites against anyone in the NFL? I don’t think so. The Raiders are adjusting under the new head coach and they are not making as many mistakes as they have in the past. This line is set off last years Raiders team not this year. This one stays close thanks to the long range kicking from the Raiders.

7. Sunday October 26th Patriots -7
The Patriots are off a short week but its time for the Rams to revert back to normal form. Jackson is beat up after last game and Cassell has finally begun to grasp the offense. New England has prospered against the NFC-West, cashing 11 straight. The Patriots are 38-14-2 as non-division home favorites while St. Louis is 12-29-2 ATS on the road outside the NFC-West. The Rams are 2-13 as dogs off a double-digit spread win versus a non-division foe. The Patriots roll again this week for the big win!


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