NFL First Look: Week 2

Tuesday is when I take the first look at what the upcoming week will have to offer.

Dallas at Miami



Dallas is one of the elite teams in the National Football Conference and it opened the season with a home win over the New York Giants. Miami was a last place team in 2006 and is rebuilding with a new coach and a new quarterback. So it's certainly no surprise that the Cowboys will be favored when they hit the road for the first time this Sunday to face the Dolphins.
That doesn't mean Dallas is a cinch to get out of town with a victory. The Cowboys have had a tough time on the road against American Football Conference squads, failing to get the cheddar in 15 of 20 chances. Dallas has come up short at a 15-4-1 ATS clip on the highway after scoring 30 points or more and failed to cash at a 15-5-1 rate coming off a double-digit division win.
The Cowboys do have a couple of strong trends that point in their direction. They are 23-12-1 as road favorites of seven points or less and 15-6 ATS on the highway after allowing 30 points or more.
Miami has flushed its supporter's money down the drain on a regular basis at home. The Dolphins are 9-23 ATS in the Sunshine State since 2003. They have also failed to cash in eight of their last 11 home openers. Yet they have prospered against the NFC, getting the green in seven of nine as underdogs.
Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 2 menu appear below.
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BILLS at STEELERS
Pittsburgh has cashed seven of its last nine against Buffalo, though this is just the fourth meeting since '99. The Steelers are 17-7 ATS at home after winning by 14 points or more and 25-13-2 ATS off a double-digit division win. However, they are only 4-10-1 in their last 15 home openers. The Bills have 'covered' 14 of 16 in Week 2 and they are 9-4 as road dogs versus a non-division foe off a loss. Pittsburgh has zipped 'over' in 14 of 15 at Heinz Field and in 11 of its last 14 as favorites.

BENGALS at BROWNS
Cincinnati has won five straight series meetings with Cleveland (4-1 against the spread) and in its last two visits prevailed by a combined score of 57-13. The Bengals have been a solid investment as road chalk, cashing in 10 of 13. The Browns are 8-17 ATS versus division foes and they have dropped 12 of their last 14 spread decisions in September. They have been able to get the green in 14 of 21 as dogs during the first month of the season. Seven of the last eight clashes in Cleveland have been on the low side. Cincinnati has slipped below the number in their last 10 games as division road favorites. The Browns have knuckled 'under' at a 19-8-1 clip as home dogs of three points or more.

COLTS at TITANS
Indianapolis will be looking for revenge after losing at Tennessee in its last visit as 7 ½-point favorites, 20-17. The Colts have cashed at a 9-3-2 clip in their last 14 road openers and they are 12-2 as road chalk in September. The Titans are 11-3 as dogs the past two seasons. However, they are 1-9-1 ATS after a win by three points or less. Indianapolis had 'covered' six straight against Tennessee before falling short in both 2007 encounters. The last four series tussles have tiptoed under the total. The Titans have eclipsed the total in 13 of 14 after scoring and allowing 14 points or less in their last game and they have been on the high side in 13 of 14 after a road win by three points or less.

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TEXANS at PANTHERS
Houston has its sights set on winning four in a row for the first time in franchise history. The Texans have failed to cash 16 of 21 following a straight up victory and 11 of 13 after a home success. Carolina is 4-12 as home favorites and 6-11 ATS after winning by 14 points or more. The Panthers have slipped below the total in 12 of 16 games during the first four weeks of the season. Houston has been on the low side in 18 of 27 as road dogs.

49ERS at RAMS
San Francisco has 'covered' five straight against St. Louis and come away with the money in 20 of 28 series showdowns. The Niners have also cashed 10 of 13 under the Jones Dome. The Rams have failed to cash 15 of 23 following a SU&ATS loss. They have also stumbled at a 13-2-1 clip as division favorites. The dog has 'covered' in six of the past seven series encounters and the SU winner is 20-3-1 ATS.

PACKERS at GIANTS
Green Bay has a dismal 1-10 ATS mark as road dogs versus teams from the NFC-East. Injury-riddled New York is 14-2 ATS after scoring 35 points or more and 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss to a division foe. However, they have flopped in eight of nine ATS the week before facing Washington. The Giants have zipped 'over' at a 29-18-1 clip as favorites after a SU loss. The Packers have been on the low side at a 15-4-1 rate after winning SU as a dog.

FALCONS at JAGUARS
Jacksonville has been a wise investment at home versus NFC opposition. The Jaguars have cashed 17 of 23 versus non-conference foes at Municipal Stadium and 12 of 16 as non-conference chalk overall. They are also 13-3 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 points or less. Atlanta is 6-11-1 as underdogs versus AFC teams. The Falcons have gone 'under' in eight of their last nine road games and in nine of 10 on grass. Jacksonville has been on the low side in 14 of 16 after allowing 175 or more rushing yards in its last game.

SAINTS at BUCS
Tampa Bay had won four of six and 'covered' five of six against New Orleans before taking it on the chin in last year's season finale at home, 31-14. The visitor in this NFC-South rivalry has 'covered' at a 12-3-1 pace. The Saints are 10-3 as division road favorites and they have cashed 20 of their last 23 on the highway against division foes overall. The Bucs are 15-6-1 ATS after scoring 10 points or less.

VIKINGS at LIONS
Minnesota has won 10 straight versus Detroit and 'covered' four in a row. The Vikings are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 road openers. The Lions are 10-20 as home favorites. The 'over' has cashed in 11 of the past 15 meetings in the Motor City. Minnesota has topped the total in 36 of its last 55 on the road against division rivals.




SEAHAWKS at CARDS
Seattle had won four straight and seven of eight (6-2 ATS) against Arizona until failing in its last visit as three-point favorites, 27-21. The Seahawks are 7-16 as road favorites and 3-12 on the highway when laying 3 ½-pointsor less. However, the Cardinals are 3-18 as home dogs during the first month of the season. The SU winner is the series is 13-1 ATS. The last five series shootouts have been on the high side.

JETS at RAVENS
The New York Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road openers. The Jets have lost and failed in nine of their last dozen on the road versus a non-division opponent and in seven of eight ATS off a double-digit loss. Baltimore has faced the Jets five times in the last 10 seasons, getting the 'cover' each time and winning four straight. The Ravens are 11-2 as home favorites the first two weeks of the season and 22-5 as non-division home chalk.

RAIDERS at BRONCOS
Denver has won seven of eight versus Oakland, though it failed to get the money in both meetings last season after cashing in five of six. The Raiders are 1-14-1 after suffering a SU loss as favorites and they have dropped 22 of 33 spread decisions on the road. The Broncos are 12-5-2 as division home favorites, though they have stumbled in their last six versus AFC-West rivals the past two seasons. Oakland has slithered 'under' in 12 of its last 16 on the road and in six straight on the highway versus division rivals. The Raiders have also taken the low road in 11 of 13 as short-enders away from home.

CHIEFS at BEARS
Kansas City is 5-13 SU and 4-13-1 ATS on the road against NFC foes. Conversely, Chicago has clicked in 13 of 16 ATS when facing teams from the NFC-West and in 17 of 22 at home versus AFC outfits. The Bears have also cashed 17 of 22 at home following a double-digit road loss. They have failed in 12 of 18 as home favorites during the first four weeks of the season. The Chiefs are 19-7 ATS following a blowout road loss by 14 points or more. Chicago has gone above the total in nine of 10 as home favorites. Kansas City has ducked 'under' in 21 of 29 in the first two weeks of the season.

CHARGERS at PATS
San Diego has cashed at a 10-4-1 clip on the road after allowing 10 points or less. New England is 8-1 ATS in Beantown off a double-digit division win. The Patriots have slipped 'under' in seven of 10 home openers and in 16 of 23 at Gillette Stadium after a win by seven points or more.

SKINS at EAGLES
Washington has cashed 25 of 35 as road dogs of 3 ½ to seven points. The Skins have also 'covered' 10 of their last 15 on the road versus division competition. Philadelphia has won 11 of its last 15 versus Washington at home. The Eagles are 9-2 ATS at home after a loss by three points or less. The underdog has barked in four of the past five series showdowns. Washington has strayed below the number in its last seven Monday night appearances. The Skins have also been on the low side in 20 of 28 during the first two weeks of the season.

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