Monday, September 10, 2007

Monday night Football


Monday Night Football Previews and Picks Previews



NFL Betting Preview

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Monday, 7:00 pm Eastern – ESPN
SBG Global Opening Line: Bengals -2.5, Total 40

The first game of a Monday night football doubleheader takes place in Cincinnati tonight as the Bengals host the Baltimore Ravens. Cincinnati was a big disappointment a year ago as they finished 8-8 after being pegged as a possible Super Bowl contender. The Bengals have a star quarterback in Carson Palmer, excellent wide receivers in Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh and a solid running back in Rudi Johnson. If they can play defense, then the Bengals have a chance to make a lot of noise this season. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Bengals at home.

Palmer threw for a career-high 4,035 yards and 28 touchdowns a year ago but he wants more this season. "You want guys on your team that you know you can count on, guys that are going to be here to play week in and week out," said Palmer, "When it's crunch time, you know they're going to make the right decisions. Whether it's crunch time and they're being peer-pressured to do something outside of football, or it's crunch time on third down and you have to make a play."

The Ravens know that the Bengals have an offense that can move the ball effectively. “Anytime you play a team in our division, it’s tough,” said defensive tackle Kelly Gregg. “They have one of the best offensive lines around. They’ve got a center that has some experience, two big guards and the tackles [are good]. They are one of the best offenses in the NFL, and it definitely starts with the offensive line.”


SBG Global Current Line: Bengals -3 (+105), Total 40 (-115)

The Ravens are coming off a franchise-best 13-3 record last year. The offense was a problem for the Ravens though as they averaged just 22.1 points per game and only scored 6 points in the loss to the Colts in the playoffs. "You use it as a motivation, you use it as a challenge," coach Brian Billick said. "You recognize what you did well, you identify what it is that left you with that feeling. That's what we're about to rectify." Quarterback Steve McNair threw for 3,050 yards and 16 touchdowns a year ago, "When you think of the Baltimore Ravens, you're going to think about the defense. And that's one of the things we want to overcome," McNair said. "We can be that great offense. We can be that balanced team. We know we've proven that last year and we want to prove that more this year."

The Ravens dumped Jamal Lewis in the off-season and brought in Willis McGahee who they got in a trade from the Buffalo Bills. "He came here for one reason: to run the ball and make our offense better," wide receiver Derrick Mason said. "I think he did that as soon as he got here." The

The Baltimore defense is always good led by linebacker Ray Lewis but they did lose linebacker Adalius Thomas to the New England Patriots. "As much as they hated to lose Adalius Thomas, this group is very confident that it can reformulate itself," Billick said.

The home team won both games last year. The Bengals have won four of the last five overall. The Ravens have not won at Cincinnati since 2003.

The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Ravens are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games.

The Bengals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September. The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on Grass. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bengals are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite. The Bengals are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between the two teams and the home team 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

The Over is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 Monday games. The Under is 15-5-1 in the Ravens last 21 games as an underdog. The Under is 6-2 in the Ravens last 8 games overall. The Under is 16-6-3 in the Ravens last 25 vs. the AFC. The Under is 21-8-1 in the Ravens last 30 games in September. The Under is 18-7-2 in the Ravens last 27 road games. The Under is 36-15-1 in the Ravens last 52 games as a road underdog.

The Under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games as a favorite. The Under is 6-1 in the Bengals last 7 games overall. The Under is 5-1 in the Bengals last 6 vs. the AFC. The Under is 4-1 in the Bengals last 5 games on Grass. The Under is 10-3 in the Bengals last 13 games in September. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the two teams.

Selection: Bengals -3

NFL Betting Preview

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

Monday, 10:15 pm Eastern – ESPN
SBG Global Opening Line: 49ers -3 (-120), Total 45

Two teams that a lot of people are expecting to improve meet tonight in San Francisco in the second half of ESPN’s Monday Night Football doubleheader. The 49ers begin the season with high expectations after improving from 4-12 to 7-9 last year under head coach Mike Nolan. The 49ers made a number of excellent off-season moves and are expected to challenge for a playoff spot this season. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored 49ers at home.

The 49ers signed cornerback Nate Clements to the biggest defensive contract in NFL history, a six-year, $60 million deal. They also got former Pro Bowl safety Michael Lewis from Philadelphia. "I want to be here when we turn it around and get this franchise back to the place it's supposed to be," Clements said. "I wanted to be part of the building process. The 49ers are one of the great organizations in this league, and it's time to get us back there." The 49ers also picked up receivers Darrell Jackson from Seattle and Ashley Lelie from Denver. They should give quarterback Alex Smith even more options to go along with Frank Gore, who led the NFC with 1,695 rushing yards last year. "The new guys that we've added have created a much higher level of competition," Nolan said. "Our guys are going into this season expecting to win. In our previous two years here, we hoped to win and we prepared to win. Now we have to believe we're going to get this team to the next step, which is to play well enough to challenge for a winning record and the playoffs." The 49ers expect to be better on offense but the bigger concern is the defense that was very weak last season. With Clements and Lewis as part of the team they expect to be better. They also expect that first round draft pick Patrick Willis will help.

SBG Global Current Line: 49ers -3 EV , Total 45.5 (-115)

The Cardinals start the season with high hopes as well. They finished 5-11 last season and got rid of overrated head coach Dennis Green and brought in Ken Whisenhunt who was the offensive coordinator for the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cardinals definitely have the offensive talent led by quarterback Matt Leinart and receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. The Cardinals also have running back Edgerrin James, who needs to do a lot better than last year when he rushed for 1,159 yards and a career-low 3.4 yards per carry. He should get help because the offensive line will have three new starters, including the 5th pick in the NFL draft, right tackle Levi Brown. Leinart should get more time to throw and James should have better holes to run through. Leinart has excellent receivers in Fitzgerald and Boldin, who combined for 152 receptions for 2,149 yards and 10 touchdowns last season. "We are starting to mesh with Matt," Boldin said. "He is starting to get familiar with the new system as well as us, and we are starting to understand what the coaches want from us. I think the more we spread the ball around, the more dangerous we are." The Cardinals also have defensive questions. They ranked 29th in overall defense last season, and 30th against the pass.

The Cardinals have won the last four meetings with the 49ers. In season opening games the 49ers are 11-3 in their last 14 games while Arizona is 1-6 in their last 7.

The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NFC. The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on Grass. The Cardinals are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in September. The Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings between the two teams.

The 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NFC West. The 49ers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The 49ers are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite.

The Over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 games on Grass. The Over is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 games overall. The Over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 vs. the NFC. The Over is 27-7 in the Cardinals last 34 games as a road underdog. The Over is 25-8 in the Cardinals last 33 games as an underdog. The Over is 28-9 in the Cardinals last 37 road games. The Over is 8-3 in the Cardinals last 11 vs. the NFC West. The Under is 11-5 in the Cardinals last 16 games in September.

The Over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 Monday games. The Over is 7-0 in the 49ers last 7 games as a home favorite. The Over is 5-1 in the 49ers last 6 games in September. The Over is 8-2 in the 49ers last 10 games on Grass. The Under is 4-1 in the 49ers last 5 vs. the NFC West. The Over is 5-2 in the 49ers last 7 home games. The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between the two teams. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.

Selection: Arizona +3



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